Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Baltika Kaliningrad		Rubin Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.14	3.19	4.05
	2.08	3.1	3.9
	2.17	3.24	4.08	Watch
	2.1	3.05	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.95)	3.15 ↓ (3.35)	3.92 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika Kaliningrad
45.1%

Draw
30.5%

Rubin Kazan
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.4%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Baltika Kaliningrad - Rubin Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baltika (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Latyshonok E. (G) 22. Beveev M. 2. Varatynov S. 21. Anderson E. 4. Gassama N. 24. Mouyokolo L. 73. Petrov M. 8. Mendel A. (C) 5. Mourid A. 11. Titkov N. 91. Gil B.	38. Staver E. (G) 12. Arroyo A. 13. Urozov J. 5. Vujacic I. (C) 2. Teslenko E. 51. Rozhkov I. 22. Hodza V. 6. Iwu U. 77. Jukic A. 98. Lobov N. 43. Siwe J.
Substitutes
26. Belikov I. 64. Gasanbekov O. 3. Kirsch I. 14. Kovac S. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 57. Mamedov E. 9. Offor C. 10. Petrov I. 42. Pospelov V. 68. Ryadno M. 7. Shiltsov K. 15. Yenne T.	23. Bezrukov R. 11. Gripshi N. 18. Ignatiev M. 8. Jocic B. 70. Kabutov D. 86. Korets N. (G) 44. Kuznetsov D. 3. Maldonado D. 59. Motorin D. N. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 4. Nizhegorodov K. 14. Saavedra I.
Coaches
Talalaev A.	Artiga F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Siwe J. ⚽, Rozhkov I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Petrov M. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
56', Mourid A. ↓, Petrov I. ↑,
67', Hodza V. ↓, Saavedra I. ↑,
68', Arroyo A. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
74', Gil B. ↓, Pospelov V. ↑,
74', Mendel A. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
79', Jukic A. 🟨,
80', Jukic A. ↓, Maldonado D. ↑,
84', Titkov N. ↓, Shiltsov K. ↑,
84', Rozhkov I. ↓, Ignatiev M. ↑,
84', Iwu U. ↓, Jocic B. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Varatynov S. ⚽, Pospelov V. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Baltika is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Baltika: Filin A. (Knee Injury) Shnaptsev M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rubin: Drezgic U. (Knee Injury) Gritsaenko A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Baltika: Moufi F. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Baltika: 0.84% Rubin Kazan: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Rubin Kazan	9	2	6	1	12:11	1	12
10	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14:12	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Cup
20.08.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.08.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
05.08.26	Zenit - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.08.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Moscow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWLW
- Rubin Kazan
Russian Cup
19.08.26	Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	Rostov - Rubin Kazan	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Rubin Kazan - Orenburg	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
04.08.26	Rodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan	5:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - Rubin Kazan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
02.05.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rubin Kazan	0:1
19.10.25	Rubin Kazan - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:3
10.12.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rubin Kazan	0:1
27.10.23	Rubin Kazan - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0
Russian FNL
20.05.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rubin Kazan	0:1
30.10.22	Rubin Kazan - Baltika Kaliningrad	3:3

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