Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad)

Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 4


	Baltika Kaliningrad		CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.64	3.23	2.9
	2.71	3.27	2.81	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.81)	3.18 ↑ (3.05)	2.74 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika Kaliningrad
35%

Draw
30%

CSKA Moscow
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

30.2%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

30%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Borisko M. (G) 2. Varatynov S. 16. Andrade K. (C) 4. Gassama N. 23. Beveev M. 10. Petrov I. 15. Yenne T. 77. Civic E. 22. Titkov N. 91. Gil B. 73. Petrov M.	35. Akinfeev I. (C) 22. Gajic M. 4. Joao Victor 2. Matheus Reis 27. Moises 6. Barinov D. 31. Kislyak M. 3. Krugovoy D. 10. Oblyakov I. 17. Glebov K. 11. Musaev T.
Substitutes
21. Anderson E. 25. Filin A. 14. Kovac S. 11. Kovalev Y. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 69. Manelov I. 8. Mendel A. 5. Mourid A. 90. Offor C. 68. Ryadno M. 39. Stepanov K.	52. Bandikyan A. 99. Barovskiy N. (G) 85. Besaev E. (G) 79. Danilov K. 37. Henrique Carmo 18. Kozlov D. 90. Lukin M. 7. Matheus Alves 20. Popovic M. 19. Ruiz D. 49. Torop V. (G) 97. Voronov M.
Coaches
Talalaev A.	Celestini F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Andrade K. 🟨,
45', Glebov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Petrov I. ↓, Mendel A. ↑,
51', Yenne T. 🟨,
61', Civic E. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
61', Yenne T. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Gil B. ⚽,
65', Musaev T. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
69', Krugovoy D. ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
69', Barinov D. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
69', Glebov K. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
75', Matheus Reis ↓, Danilov K. ↑,
76', Titkov N. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
80', Mendel A. ↓, Filin A. ↑,
89', Moises 🟨,
90+1', Joao Victor 🟨,
90+13', 🟨,
90+14', Beveev M. 🟨,
90+14', Gil B. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, CSKA has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Baltika: Belikov I. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in CSKA: Gondou L. (Red Card)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

CSKA Moscow: 6.69% Baltika: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15:9	6	19
10	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14:12	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League
07.03.26	Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
03.03.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
27.02.26	Zenit - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny	2:2 ✺
18.02.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Kaisar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLTW
- CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League
08.03.26	CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	1:4 ✺
Russian Cup
04.03.26	CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar	3:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.03.26	Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:2 ✺
18.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
28.09.25	CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0
Russian Cup
18.09.25	CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 penalties
27.08.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow	0:2
Russian Premier League
28.04.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow	3:1
Russian Cup
16.04.24	CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:0
03.04.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow	0:1
Russian Premier League
30.09.23	CSKA Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0

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