Match Info

BELARUS: Belarusian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	Baranovichi		Smorgon

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.3
	7.6	5.1	1.3
	7.2	5.2	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.27 ↑ (5.43)	5.1 ↑ (4.25)	1.31 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baranovichi
12.5%

Draw
17.8%

Smorgon
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

21.5%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

20%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baranovichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Smorgon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baranovichi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Smorgon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Baranovichi - Smorgon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Baranovichi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Smorgon will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vysotskiy M. (G) 21. Bolbat D. (C) 4. Firsov A. 9. Galuza D. 8. Kipra D. 77. Kirkitskiy K. 91. Myzgin V. 99. Savitskiy A. 3. Tarabesh I. 5. Tarbyakov N. 15. Tkatsevich M.	1. Novichkov I. (G) 72. Askarov M. 2. Bamba M. L. 89. Camara Y. (C) 27. Gaevoy M. 23. Gorbach P. 10. Leonovich K. 30. Likhtin V. 4. Shalashnikov A. 14. Shubovich V. 5. Toure A.
Substitutes
35. Dresmanis A. (G) 7. Kendysh S. 32. Krutko A. 18. Lukyanov M. 12. Mikhey E. 17. Mukhametshin L. 11. Nakonechny D. 30. Plaksa T. 2. Shamanov N.	12. Azarko M. (G) 11. Dalidovich V. 9. Glotko A. 7. Kopytich A. 44. Lutsevich T. 6. Seleznev P. 71. Stankevich A. 78. Tishko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Kipra D. 🟨,
18', 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Gaevoy M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Askarov M. 🟨,
63', Askarov M. ↓, Tishko A. ↑,
63', Gorbach P. ↓, Lutsevich T. ↑,
63', Bamba M. L. ↓, Seleznev P. ↑,
77', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Smorgon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Smorgon is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baranovichi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Baranovichi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.07.24	SKA-1938 - Baranovichi	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	Baranovichi - Niva Dolbizno	1:3 ✺
16.06.24	Volna Pinsk - Baranovichi	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Baranovichi - Torpedo-BelAZ 2	2:1 ✺
25.05.24	Baranovichi - BumProm Gomel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLWW
- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
06.07.24	Smorgon - BATE Borisov	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Neman Grodno - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
21.06.24	Smorgon - Slutsk	4:1 ✺
16.06.24	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Smorgon	2:0 ✺
31.05.24	Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
22.04.22	Smorgon - Baranovichi	3:0
Belarusian Cup
06.06.20	Baranovichi - Smorgon	1:0
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
15.06.19	Smorgon - Baranovichi	4:1
04.08.18	Baranovichi - Smorgon	0:1
12.08.17	Smorgon - Baranovichi	3:4

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