Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Azerbaijan	21:45	Ictimai TV
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	14:45	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	13:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
Colombia	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:45	beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free, New World TV
Georgia	21:45	Silk Universal
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	17:45	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	19:45	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	02:45	Wowow Prime
Kosovo	18:45	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	11:45	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	03:45	TVWan Sports
Peru	12:45	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 2, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 3
South Africa	19:45	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:45	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	01:45	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	00:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	20:45	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	13:45	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus, TV 360
International	17:45	Disney+


	Lille		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.6
	2.6	3.4	2.6
	2.82	3.35	2.62
	2.8	3.44	2.63
	2.76	3.33	2.68	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.5
	2.87	3.36	2.67
	2.8	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.79)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	2.61 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Lille
34.7%

Draw
28.6%

Borussia Dortmund
36.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.6%

27.5%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.2%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.6%	32.8%	20.7%

Lille - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 27 - 46.6%). Borussia D will win (votes: 12 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 32.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 33.8% – 59.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Chevalier L. (G) 12. Meunier T. 18. Diakite B. 4. Alexsandro 31. Ismaily 17. Mukau N. 21. Andre B. (C) 32. Bouaddi A. 7. Haraldsson H. 9. David J. 10. Cabella R.	1. Kobel G. (G) 13. Gross P. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. 26. Ryerson J. 20. Sabitzer M. 23. Can E. (C) 27. Adeyemi K. 10. Brandt J. 14. Beier M. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
24. Akpom Ch. 20. Bakker M. 16. Caillard M. (G) 35. Cossier I. 19. Fernandez-Pardo M. 8. Gomes A. 26. Gomes A. 5. Gudmundsson G. 2. Mandi A. 1. Mannone V. (G) 29. Mbappe E. 11. Sahraoui O.	5. Bensebaini R. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 16. Duranville J. 43. Gittens J. 42. Kabar A. 34. Lisewski R. (G) 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 7. Reyna G. 25. Sule N. 38. Watjen K.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, David J. ⚽, Ismaily (A),
32', Anton W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Gross P. 🟨,
52', Meunier T. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Can E. (Pen),
65', 1 - 2, Beier M. ⚽, Guirassy S. (A),
67', Cabella R. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
67', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
72', Anton W. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,
74', Bouaddi A. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
79', Adeyemi K. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
83', Mukau N. 🟨,
83', Haraldsson H. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
83', Mukau N. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
85', Beier M. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
85', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
85', Gross P. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
89', Bensebaini R. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Lille is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Borussia D is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Borussia D have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Lille: Bakker M. (Muscle Injury) Bentaleb N. (Inactive) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Borussia D: Azhil A. (Injury) Campbell C. (Muscle Injury) Jessen N. (Muscle Injury) Lotka M. (Shoulder Injury) Mane F. (Muscle Injury) Nmecha F. (Knee Injury) Svensson D. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
08.03.25	Lille - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	Borussia Dortmund - Lille	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.03.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	4:1 ✺
22.02.25	Lille - Monaco	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Rennes - Lille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTLWW
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
08.03.25	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	Borussia Dortmund - Lille	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.03.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin	6:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.02.25	Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	Borussia Dortmund - Lille	1:1

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