Match Info

Date: 24 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Camp Nou (Barcelona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Barcelona		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	2.3	4	2.45
	2.3	4.25	2.48
	2.33	4	2.48
	2.31	4.31	2.46
	2.33	4.2	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.12)	4.15 ↑ (3.6)	2.47 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
40.1%

Draw
22.3%

Manchester City
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

25.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

25.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	30.8%	53.8%

Barcelona - Manchester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Man City will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 4.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Man City have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
21.08.22	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	1:4 ✺
13.08.22	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.22	Barcelona - UNAM	6:0 ✺
30.07.22	New York Red Bulls - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
26.07.22	Barcelona - Juventus	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWWT
- Manchester City
English Premier League
21.08.22	Newcastle United - Manchester City	3:3 ✺
13.08.22	Manchester City - Bournemouth	4:0 ✺
07.08.22	West Ham United - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English FA Community Shield
30.07.22	Liverpool - Manchester City	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Bayern Munich - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
01.11.16	Manchester City - Barcelona	3:1
19.10.16	Barcelona - Manchester City	4:0
18.03.15	Barcelona - Manchester City	1:0
24.02.15	Manchester City - Barcelona	1:2
12.03.14	Barcelona - Manchester City	2:1
18.02.14	Manchester City - Barcelona	0:2

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