Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Anfield (Liverpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	17:30	SuperSport 3
Argentina	12:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	19:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	02:30	Stan Sport
Austria	17:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	19:30	Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	21:30	Toffee Live
Belgium	17:30	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	11:30	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:30	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3
Brazil	12:30	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	18:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	11:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	23:30	Migu
Croatia	17:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	17:30	CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	17:30	See, Viaplay
Ecuador	10:30	ESPN
Estonia	18:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	18:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	17:30	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	19:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	17:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	18:30	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	23:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	17:30	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	15:30	SÝN Sport
India	21:00	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	22:30	Vidio
Ireland	16:30	NOW
Israel	18:30	Sport 1
Italy	17:30	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	00:30	U-NEXT
Kenya	18:30	Gotv
Kosovo	17:30	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	21:30	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	18:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	23:30	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	20:30	Medianet
Malta	17:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	09:30	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Moldova	18:30	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	23:30	Premier Sports 2
Myanmar	22:00	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	21:15	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	17:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:30	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	16:30	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	17:30	Arena Premium 1
Norway	17:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	10:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	23:30	Setanta Sports
Poland	17:30	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	16:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	18:30	Voyo
Serbia	17:30	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	23:30	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	17:30	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	17:30	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	00:30	Coupang Play
Spain	17:30	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	17:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	17:30	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	23:30	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	20:30	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	20:30	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	18:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	16:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	12:30	Disney+
Usa	11:30	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	20:30	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	11:30	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	22:30	FPT Play


	Liverpool		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.75	2.00
	3.30	3.60	2.10
	3.35	3.55	2.12
	3.66	3.85	2.06
	3.31	3.86	2.13	Watch
	3.60	3.80	2.02
	3.76	3.79	1.95	Watch
	3.65	3.85	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.57)	3.76 ↓ (3.79)	2.05 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
27.4%

Draw
25.6%

Manchester City
47%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.5%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liverpool's form might have worsened.

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.9%	28.9%	42.2%

Liverpool - Manchester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). Man City will win (votes: 19 - 42.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 27.8% – 56.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Man City (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Man City (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +2 - Liverpool (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Liverpool (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Liverpool (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Man City (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 33. Araujo R. 5. Jacquet J. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 23. Munoz V. 7. Wirtz F. 29. Barcola B. 67. Koumas L.	1. Donnarumma G. (G) 27. Nunes M. 3. Dias R. (C) 6. Guehi M. 33. O'Reilly N. 5. Anderson E. 17. Fernandez E. 7. Ndiaye I. 10. Cherki R. 42. Semenyo A. 9. Haaland E.
Substitutes
14. Chiesa F. 3. Endo W. 30. Frimpong J. 2. Gomez J. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 53. McConnell J. 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 21. Tsimikas K.	37. Allan Elias 32. Bouaddi A. 11. Doku J. 24. Gvardiol J. 45. Khusanov A. 8. Kovacic M. 82. Lewis R. 28. Rulli G. (G) 22. Vitor Reis
Coaches
Iraola A.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Araujo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', Gravenberch R. 🟨,
56', Ndiaye I. ↓, Doku J. ↑,
58', O'Reilly N. 🟨,
62', Gravenberch R. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽,
66', Wirtz F. ↓, Nyoni T. ↑,
66', O'Reilly N. ↓, Gvardiol J. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Doku J. ⚽, Anderson E. (A),
75', Araujo R. ↓, Frimpong J. ↑,
75', Koumas L. ↓, Ngumoha R. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Cherki R. ⚽, Gvardiol J. (A),
80', Haaland E. ↓, Allan Elias ↑,
80', Fernandez E. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
86', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
88', Jacquet J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
88', Barcola B. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
90+1', van Dijk V. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 7th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.

Both teams arrive in flying form having triumphed in their latest fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:39 (averaging 1.4:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Liverpool against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 15:13 goals (averaging 1.7:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	8	7	0	1	20:9	11	21
4	Liverpool	8	4	3	1	11:8	3	15

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Manchester City: 15.11% Liverpool: 6.62%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
20.09.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Liverpool - Fulham	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
04.09.26	Ipswich Town - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWW
- Manchester City
English Premier League
20.09.26	Manchester City - Sunderland	5:3 ✺
English League Cup
17.09.26	Manchester City - Norwich City	5:0 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Porto - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Manchester City - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
04.04.26	Manchester City - Liverpool	4:0
English Premier League
08.02.26	Liverpool - Manchester City	1:2
09.11.25	Manchester City - Liverpool	3:0
23.02.25	Manchester City - Liverpool	0:2
01.12.24	Liverpool - Manchester City	2:0
10.03.24	Liverpool - Manchester City	1:1
25.11.23	Manchester City - Liverpool	1:1

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