The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barcelona Guayaquil 46.9%
Draw 27.2%
Santos 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
28.3%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
19.2%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-18.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona Guayaquil that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+17.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.6%
18.2%
24.2%
Barcelona Guayaquil - Santos Predictions
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). Santos will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 40.7% โ 74.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
No spectators.
Barcelona Guayaquil is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Santos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Barcelona Guayaquil could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Barcelona Guayaquil will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Barcelona Guayaquil won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona Guayaquil won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.