Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno


	Bari		Cagliari

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.9
	2.55	3.18	3.01
	2.42	3.1	2.84	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.46)	3.15 ↑ (3.15)	2.93 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
38.2%

Draw
29.8%

Cagliari
32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bari have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Cagliari have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Bari - Cagliari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Caprile E. (G) 93. Dorval M. 23. Vicari F. 6. Di Cesare V. 27. Mazzotta A. 80. Benedetti L. 17. Maiello R. 4. Maita M. 14. Morachioli G. 9. Esposito Se. 11. Cheddira W.	1. Radunovic B. (G) 28. Zappa G. 4. Dossena A. 23. Lella N. 37. Azzi P. 29. Makoumbou A. 14. Deiola A. (C) 99. Di Pardo A. 33. Obert A. 77. Luvumbo Z. 9. Lapadula G.
Substitutes
7. Antenucci M. 63. Bellomo N. 8. Benali A. 10. Botta R. 30. Ceter D. 90. Folorunsho M. 1. Frattali P. (G) 5. Matino E. 79. Molina S. 25. Pucino R. 31. Ricci G. 21. Zuzek Z.	15. Altare G. 18. Aresti S. (G) 27. Barreca A. 22. Ciocci G. (G) 3. Goldaniga E. 39. Kourfalidis C. 5. Mancosu M. 19. Millico V. 30. Pavoletti L. 20. Prelec N. 6. Rog M. 10. Viola N.
Coaches
Mignani M.	Ranieri C.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Bari has the most likely position - 3 (100%), project points - 65, currently - 65, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a good chance of promoted (67%), not chance of win league.

Cagliari has the most likely position - 5 (100%), project points - 60, currently - 60, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (33%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 44, very big importance 100, big match rating 72. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Bari is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cagliari is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
08.06.23	Cagliari - Bari	1:1 ✺
02.06.23	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
29.05.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Genoa - Bari	4:3 ✺
13.05.23	Bari - Reggina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLLW
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie B
08.06.23	Cagliari - Bari	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Parma - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
30.05.23	Cagliari - Parma	3:2 ✺
27.05.23	Cagliari - Venezia	2:1 ✺
19.05.23	Nuova Cosenza - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.06.23	Cagliari - Bari	1:1
18.02.23	Bari - Cagliari	1:1
17.09.22	Cagliari - Bari	0:1
06.05.16	Bari - Cagliari	0:3
19.12.15	Cagliari - Bari	2:1

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