Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 37

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Minelli D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport


	Bari		Reggina

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.25	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.43	3	3.53
	2.35	3.02	3.32	Watch
	2.35	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.23)	3.05 ↓ (3.12)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
40.4%

Draw
31%

Reggina
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.8%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.8%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The chances for Reggina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	13.8%	3.4%

Bari - Reggina Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 24 - 82.8%). Reggina will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 69.1% – 96.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Bari has the most likely position - 3 (98.65%), project points - 65, currently - 62, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (37%), not chance of win league.

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 7 (85.07%), project points - 54, currently - 52, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (>99%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 34, small importance 15, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 0.

Bari is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Reggio Calabria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bari will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bari won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
06.05.23	Modena - Bari	1:1 ✺
01.05.23	Bari - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Pisa - Bari	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Bari - Como	2:2 ✺
10.04.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWTW
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
06.05.23	Reggina - Como	2:1 ✺
01.05.23	Frosinone - Reggina	3:1 ✺
21.04.23	Reggina - Brescia	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Benevento - Reggina	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Reggina - Venezia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.12.22	Reggina - Bari	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
26.01.20	Reggina - Bari	1:1
16.09.19	Bari - Reggina	1:1
Italian Serie B
25.01.14	Bari - Reggina	0:1
23.08.13	Reggina - Bari	0:0
05.04.13	Reggina - Bari	1:0
12.11.12	Bari - Reggina	0:1

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