Match Info

Serie B - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Cesena		Bari

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.7	5.75	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.2
	1.62	3.65	5.3	Watch
	1.64	3.9	6.07
	1.61	3.72	5.7	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.5
	1.65	3.69	5.74	Watch
	1.61	3.66	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.8)	3.64 ↑ (3.43)	5.5 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
57%

Draw
25.9%

Bari
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cesena's performance.

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	15.8%	0%

Cesena - Bari Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Cesena (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cesena will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cesena will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ciervo R. 14. Berti T. 4. Castagnetti M. 25. Bisoli D. 99. Frabotta G. 7. Blesa J. 9. Shpendi C.	31. Cerofolini M. (G) 51. Cistana A. 25. Pucino R. (C) 43. Nikolaou D. 30. Mane M. 29. Verreth M. 27. Braunoder M. 93. Dorval M. 49. De Pieri G. 9. Gytkjaer C. 17. Rao E.
Substitutes
16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 13. Celia R. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 70. Francesconi M. 75. Galvagno F. 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 32. Olivieri M. 26. Piacentini M. 1. Siano A. (G) 35. Zamagni D.	10. Bellomo N. 3. Burgio R. 99. Cerri L. 32. Colangiuli V. 24. Dickmann L. 15. Kassama S. 12. Marfella D. (G) 13. Meroni A. 11. Moncini G. 8. Pagano R. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 37. Stabile G.
Coaches
Mignani M.	Vivarini V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Cistana A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Rao E. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
60', 1 - 1, Ciervo R. ⚽, Shpendi C. (A),
63', Rao E. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
63', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Dickmann L. ↑,
69', Mane M. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
72', De Pieri G. 🟨,
73', Bisoli D. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
74', Magni V. 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Moncini G. ⚽, Nikolaou D. (A),
80', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
81', Mangraviti M. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
81', Ciofi A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
81', Verreth M. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
82', De Pieri G. ↓, Colangiuli V. ↑,
82', Moncini G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 0.

Recent performances by Cesena have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bari's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Cesena is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Bari: Castrovilli G. (Inactive) Darboe E. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
17.01.26	Reggiana - Cesena	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Cesena - Empoli	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Cesena - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cesena - Mantova	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLTW
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
17.01.26	Bari - Juve Stabia	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Carrarese - Bari	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Bari - Avellino	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Bari - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.11.25	Bari - Cesena	1:0
25.01.25	Cesena - Bari	1:1
07.12.24	Bari - Cesena	1:0
20.01.18	Cesena - Bari	1:1
28.08.17	Bari - Cesena	3:0
11.02.17	Cesena - Bari	1:1
16.09.16	Bari - Cesena	2:1

Cesena - Bari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide