The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bari 54.4%
Draw 26.4%
Crotone 19.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.3%
23.4%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
22.1%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bari's form might have worsened.
Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crotone's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Bari - Crotone Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 6. Mogos V. 3. Mantovani V. (C) 79. Elia M. 14. Anzolin M. 44. Mendicino L. 8. Grgic L. 25. Maggiore G. 11. Tribuzzi A. 7. Butic K. 21. Della Morte M.
1. Merelli D. (C) 63. Veltri A. 13. Armini N. 26. Tanco G. J. 23. Groppelli F. 8. Torres I. 80. Grosso F. 37. Barcella K. 99. Crapisto F. 10. Musso A. 96. Zunno M.
Substitutes
24. Bianchi F. 27. Burgio R. 33. Celli A. 72. Cocetta N. 32. Colangiuli V. 77. Esposito M. 9. Gomez G. 19. Mane M. 12. Mezzapesa A. (G) 48. Nicolas Andrade (G) 95. Prisco V.
19. Feola W. 25. Guerra W. 22. Lucano A. (G) 44. Pierangeli L. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 31. Rodriguez P. 83. Ruggiero Z. 17. Russo D. 5. Russo L. 7. Stauciuc B. 79. Terrasi G. 18. Tordini M.
Coaches
Rastelli M.
Greco L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Tanco G. J. 🟨,
43', Mogos V. ↓, Burgio R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Grgic L. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
51', Torres I. ↓, Feola W. ↑,
60', Maggiore G. 🟨,
62', Veltri A. 🟨,
65', Anzolin M. ↓, Celli A. ↑,
65', Tribuzzi A. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
80', Feola W. 🟨,
86', Della Morte M. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
88', Grosso F. ↓, Russo L. ↑,
88', Barcella K. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
90+1', Musso A. ↓, Russo D. ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (Quarter - finals) and 20th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.
Bari is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Crotone is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Crotone could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Bari for this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Bari has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:14 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bari against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).
Italy
Switzerland
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Cerofolini M. (G) 
Mogos V. 
Grgic L. 
Butic K. 
Tanco G. J. 
Torres I. 
Nicolas Andrade (G) 
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