Match Info

Serie B - Round 37

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 4
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	Sport TV3
World	Onefootball


	Bari		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.45
	2.98	3	2.42	Watch
	3.24	3.06	2.64
	3.13	3.18	2.33	Watch
	3	2.8	2.45
	3.14	2.89	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	2.48 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bari
31.1%

Draw
31%

Virtus Entella
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

30%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.6%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	69.2%	7.7%

Bari - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bari (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 26. Odenthal C. 13. Mantovani V. (C) 8. Pagano R. 28. Piscopo K. 29. Verreth M. 27. Braunoder M. 93. Dorval M. 11. Moncini G. 17. Rao E.	22. Del Frate F. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 5. Squizzato N. 94. Mezzoni F. 24. Franzoni A. 32. Benedetti L. 15. Marconi I. 26. Di Mario S. 10. Cuppone L. 11. Guiu B.
Substitutes
10. Bellomo N. 90. Cuni M. 49. De Pieri G. 19. Esteves T. 9. Gytkjaer C. 18. Maggiore G. 30. Mane M. 43. Nikolaou D. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 37. Stabile G. 66. Traore D.	3. Alborghetti M. 7. Bariti D. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 19. Debenedetti A. 57. Del Lungo T. 8. Karic N. 4. Nichetti M. 80. Rinaldini R. (G) 99. Siaulys O. (G) 9. Stabile D. P. 17. Tirelli M. 46. Turicchia R.
Coaches
Longo M.	Chiappella A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Odenthal C. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Moncini G. ⚽, Braunoder M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Verreth M. 🟥,
53', Guiu B. 🟨,
54', Braunoder M. 🟨,
62', Rao E. ↓, Nikolaou D. ↑,
62', Moncini G. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
67', Parodi L. ↓, Bariti D. ↑,
68', Benedetti L. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
71', Di Mario S. 🟨,
73', Dickmann L. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
74', Pagano R. ↓, Esteves T. ↑,
75', Guiu B. 🟨,
79', Squizzato N. ↓, Karic N. ↑,
79', Di Mario S. ↓, Turicchia R. ↑,
87', Dorval M. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
90', Mezzoni F. ↓, Stabile D. P. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 0, Maggiore G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.

Bari is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Virtus Entella has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Bari: Artioli F. (Yellow Cards) Darboe E. (Thigh Injury) Esteves T. (Inactive) Sibilli G. (Suspended) Verreth M. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bari won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Entella: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Entella	6	1	3	2	8:7	1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Bari - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.56%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
24.04.26	Avellino - Bari	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Bari - Venezia	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Monza - Bari	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Bari - Modena	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Bari - Carrarese	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWL
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
25.04.26	Virtus Entella - Padova	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Empoli - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Virtus Entella - Venezia	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Mantova - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Virtus Entella - Reggiana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.09.25	Virtus Entella - Bari	2:2
27.04.18	Bari - Virtus Entella	1:0
03.12.17	Virtus Entella - Bari	3:1
04.03.17	Virtus Entella - Bari	2:0
09.10.16	Bari - Virtus Entella	1:1
05.03.16	Virtus Entella - Bari	2:0
24.10.15	Bari - Virtus Entella	0:0

Upcoming Matches