Match Info

Serie B - Round 34

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: U-Power Stadium (Brianteo) (Monza)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Monza		Bari

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	10	Watch
	1.27	5.3	9.2	Watch
	1.29	5.72	11.91
	1.31	5.09	9.46	Watch
	1.3	5	9.5
	1.3	5.53	9.59	Watch
	1.42	4.5	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	5.23 ↑ (4.33)	9.58 ↑ (7.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monza
72.2%

Draw
18%

Bari
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

21.5%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

20.5%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monza's performance.

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Monza - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: Monza will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 13. Ravanelli L. 15. Delli Carri F. 3. Lucchesi L. 19. Birindelli S. 28. Colpani A. 14. Obiang P. 32. Pessina M. (C) 7. Azzi P. 47. Mota D. 37. Petagna A.	1. Pissardo M. (G) 51. Cistana A. 26. Odenthal C. 13. Mantovani V. (C) 30. Mane M. 18. Maggiore G. 80. Artioli F. 28. Piscopo K. 19. Esteves T. 17. Rao E. 11. Moncini G.
Substitutes
25. Alvarez A. 24. Bakoune A. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 44. Carboni A. 30. Caso G. 26. Ciurria P. 21. Colombo L. 8. Hernani 52. Mout M. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 43. Strajnar A. (G)	10. Bellomo N. 27. Braunoder M. 20. Cavuoti N. 90. Cuni M. 93. Dorval M. 9. Gytkjaer C. 12. Marfella D. (G) 43. Nikolaou D. 8. Pagano R. 37. Stabile G. 66. Traore D. 29. Verreth M.
Coaches
Bianco P.	Longo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Obiang P. ⚽, Petagna A. (A),
64', Maggiore G. 🟨,
66', Mane M. ↓, Dorval M. ↑,
66', Maggiore G. ↓, Verreth M. ↑,
66', Obiang P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
67', Mota D. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
67', Birindelli S. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
70', Petagna A. 🟨,
79', 2 - 0, Pessina M. ⚽, Caso G. (A),
82', Esteves T. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
82', Piscopo K. ↓, Cavuoti N. ↑,
83', Moncini G. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
83', Petagna A. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
89', Lucchesi L. ↓, Carboni A. ↑,
90+4', Dorval M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Monza is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Balde K. (Red Card) Birindelli S. (Inactive) Cutrone P. (Red Card)

There will not play in Bari: Burgio R. (Inactive) Darboe E. (Thigh Injury) De Pieri G. (Inactive) Dickmann L. (Inactive) Sibilli G. (Suspended)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
06.04.26	Catanzaro - Monza	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Monza - Venezia	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Reggiana - Monza	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Monza - Palermo	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Spezia - Monza	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTTWL
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
06.04.26	Bari - Modena	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Bari - Carrarese	0:3 ✺
18.03.26	Frosinone - Bari	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bari - Reggiana	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Pescara - Bari	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
31.08.25	Bari - Monza	1:1

Upcoming Matches