Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 28

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Brook C. (Eng)


	Barnsley		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	6
	1.57	4	5.5
	1.56	4.15	5.9
	1.55	4	5.4
	1.59	4.19	5.92
	1.6	3.8	5.5
	1.58	4.1	5.7	Watch
	1.56	4.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)	4.07 ↑ (4.04)	5.69 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
60.2%

Draw
23.2%

Accrington Stanley
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23.2%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.1%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	21.4%	7.1%

Barnsley - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Accrington will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 19).

Barnsley has the most likely position - 6 (16.03%), has project points - 75, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Accrington has the most likely position - 21 (14.27%), has project points - 47, has currently - 25, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 18, importance 33, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Barnsley is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Accrington is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barnsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Accrington have a series of guest games.

In this match Barnsley is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
14.01.23	Charlton Athletic - Barnsley	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.01.23	Derby County - Barnsley	3:0 ✺
English League One
02.01.23	Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
29.12.22	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Accrington Stanley - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWT
- Accrington Stanley
English League One
14.01.23	Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.01.23	Lincoln City - Accrington Stanley	2:3 pen. ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Boreham Wood - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
English League One
02.01.23	Derby County - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
29.12.22	Morecambe - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.12.22	Accrington Stanley - Barnsley	1:1
09.03.19	Barnsley - Accrington Stanley	2:0
17.11.18	Accrington Stanley - Barnsley	0:2

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