Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 10 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Lincoln City		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.75
	2.32	3.2	2.85
	2.29	3.35	2.9
	2.36	3.3	2.96
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.34	3.38	2.97
	2.27	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.27)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	2.92 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
40.2%

Draw
28.3%

Accrington Stanley
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

26.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Lincoln City - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 1.

Lincoln is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Accrington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Accrington have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
07.01.23	Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
02.01.23	Lincoln City - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
30.12.22	Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Burton Albion - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
20.12.22	Southampton - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTLL
- Accrington Stanley
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Boreham Wood - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
English League One
02.01.23	Derby County - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
29.12.22	Morecambe - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
26.12.22	Accrington Stanley - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
13.12.22	Burton Albion - Accrington Stanley	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.11.22	Lincoln City - Accrington Stanley	1:1
23.04.22	Accrington Stanley - Lincoln City	2:1
27.11.21	Lincoln City - Accrington Stanley	0:1
14.02.21	Lincoln City - Accrington Stanley	2:2
English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Lincoln City - Accrington Stanley	4:0
English League One
21.11.20	Accrington Stanley - Lincoln City	0:0
15.02.20	Accrington Stanley - Lincoln City	4:3

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