The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 14.2%
Draw 24.8%
Bournemouth 61.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.5%
27.7%
48.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.3%
21.5%
62.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bournemouth's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.8%
7.2%
82%
Barnsley - Bournemouth Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bournemouth will win
(91 of 111 users predict this - 81.98%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.83% – 89.13%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs)).
Barnsley has the most likely position - 24 (38.33%), has project points - 35, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bournemouth has the most likely position - 2 (34.09%), has project points - 81, has currently - 49, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a good chance of promoted (52%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
Barnsley is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Bournemouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Barnsley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Bournemouth is absolute favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.
Watch
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