Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Loftus Road (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Welch R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Croatia	16:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	16:00	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	16:00	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Poland	16:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	15:00	Eleven Sports 4
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	SportKlub
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Ukraine	17:00	Setanta Sports


	Queens Park Rangers		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4.6	1.46
	7	5	1.44	Watch
	7.2	4.9	1.45
	7.21	4.9	1.44
	7	4.4	1.35
	6.75	4.8	1.44	Watch
	6.8	4.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.93 ↑ (4.71)	4.74 ↑ (4)	1.43 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park Rangers
13.7%

Draw
20%

Bournemouth
66.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20%

23.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

22.9%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queens Park Rangers's form might have worsened.

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bournemouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens Park Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bournemouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	9.5%	85.7%

Queens Park Rangers - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Bournemouth will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Begovic A. (G) 29. Drewe A. 3. Dunne J. 15. Fox M. 21. Larkeche Z. 17. Dozzell A. 8. Field S. 19. Dixon-Bonner E. 11. Smyth P. 9. Dykes L. 30. Armstrong S.	42. Travers M. (G) 37. Aarons M. 6. Mepham C. 25. Senesi M. 4. Cook L. 17. Sinisterra L. 14. Scott A. 29. Billing P. 7. Brooks D. (C) 16. Tavernier M. 21. Moore K.
Substitutes
37. Adomah A. 20. Cannon R. 6. Clarke-Salter J. 24. Duke-McKenna S. 2. Kakay O. 22. Paal K. 34. Pedder R. 40. Salamon M. (G) 41. Talla L.	51. Adu Adjei D. 10. Christie R. 43. Greenwood B. 26. Kilkenny G. 19. Kluivert J. 13. Marcondes E. 20. Radu I. (G) 8. Rothwell J. 27. Zabarnyi I.
Coaches
Cifuentes M.	Iraola A.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches QPR won 1.

QPR has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bournemouth is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

QPR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bournemouth is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches QPR won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams QPR won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
01.01.24	Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
29.12.23	Ipswich Town - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Millwall - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Queens Park Rangers - Southampton	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLLL
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
31.12.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Bournemouth - Fulham	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Manchester United - Bournemouth	0:3 ✺
06.12.23	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
27.12.21	Queens Park Rangers - Bournemouth	0:1
14.09.21	Bournemouth - Queens Park Rangers	2:1
20.02.21	Queens Park Rangers - Bournemouth	2:1
17.10.20	Bournemouth - Queens Park Rangers	0:0
Club Friendly
29.07.17	Queens Park Rangers - Bournemouth	0:1
English League Championship
05.04.14	Bournemouth - Queens Park Rangers	2:1
03.12.13	Queens Park Rangers - Bournemouth	3:0

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