Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 32

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Luton Town		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.91
	3.6	3.9	1.9
	3.65	4.05	1.95
	3.82	4.07	1.94
	3.82	4.07	1.92
	3.7	3.8	1.95
	3.74	3.87	1.98	Watch
	3.7	3.95	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.41)	3.94 ↑ (3.62)	1.93 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
25.8%

Draw
24.4%

Bournemouth
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

26.5%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

26.6%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.1%	20.6%	35.3%

Luton Town - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 15 - 44.1%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 27.4% – 60.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 27. Hashioka D. 15. Mengi T. 16. Burke R. 12. Kabore I. 18. Clark J. 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 30. Townsend A. 14. Chong T. 9. Morris C. (C)	1. Neto (C) 15. Smith A. 27. Zabarnyi I. 5. Kelly L. 3. Kerkez M. 4. Cook L. 10. Christie R. 24. Semenyo A. 19. Kluivert J. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Solanke D.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 38. Johnson J. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 43. Nelson Z. 32. Onyedinma F. 44. Piesold A. 1. Shea J. (G) 10. Woodrow C.	37. Aarons M. 29. Billing P. 8. Faivre R. 23. Hill J. 11. Ouattara Da. 14. Scott A. 25. Senesi M. 42. Travers M. (G) 26. Unal E.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Tavernier M. ⚽, Kluivert J. (A),
59', Tavernier M. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
62', Townsend A. ↓, Onyedinma F. ↑,
62', Hashioka D. ↓, Berry L. ↑,
68', Kluivert J. ↓, Billing P. ↑,
69', Semenyo A. ↓, Unal E. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Clark J. ⚽, Berry L. (A),
80', Chong T. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
86', Kerkez M. ↓, Senesi M. ↑,
87', Cook L. ↓, Scott A. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Morris C. ⚽, Woodrow C. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.

Luton is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bournemouth in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Luton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Luton have a series of guest games.

Recently Bournemouth have a series of home games.

Bournemouth will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Luton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English Premier League
03.04.24	Arsenal - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Luton Town - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
13.03.24	Bournemouth - Luton Town	4:3 ✺
09.03.24	Crystal Palace - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLT
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
02.04.24	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Bournemouth - Everton	2:1 ✺
13.03.24	Bournemouth - Luton Town	4:3 ✺
09.03.24	Bournemouth - Sheffield United	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Burnley - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.03.24	Bournemouth - Luton Town	4:3
English League Championship
15.01.22	Luton Town - Bournemouth	3:2
25.09.21	Bournemouth - Luton Town	2:1
16.01.21	Bournemouth - Luton Town	0:1
19.12.20	Luton Town - Bournemouth	0:0
English FA Cup
04.01.20	Bournemouth - Luton Town	4:0

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