Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Madden B. (Sco)


	Barnsley		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	6
	1.53	4	6
	1.52	4	7
	1.52	4.1	5.6
	1.53	4.41	6.65
	1.55	3.9	5.8
	1.56	4.33	6.1	Watch
	1.52	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.66)	4.16 ↑ (3.75)	6.14 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
61.8%

Draw
22.8%

Forest Green Rovers
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

23.9%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnsley's performance.

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	6.7%	20%

Barnsley - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Forest Green will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Barnsley has the most likely position - 7 (9.27%), has project points - 71, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (23.3%), has project points - 41, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 17, importance 31, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Barnsley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Forest Green is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forest Green could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barnsley is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
25.10.22	Barnsley - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Morecambe - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Bolton Wanderers - Barnsley	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.10.22	Doncaster Rovers - Barnsley	2:4 ✺
English League One
08.10.22	Barnsley - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTWL
- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
25.10.22	Fleetwood Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Forest Green Rovers - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Forest Green Rovers - Exeter City	4:1 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Port Vale - Forest Green Rovers	2:2 ✺
11.10.22	Peterborough United - Forest Green Rovers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWTL

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