Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)


	Fleetwood Town		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.75
	2	3.4	3.6
	2	3.5	3.75
	2.05	3.35	3.45
	2.08	3.57	3.66
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.06	3.54	3.74	Watch
	2.03	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.92)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	3.61 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
46.2%

Draw
27.6%

Forest Green Rovers
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

26.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Fleetwood Town - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Fleetwood Town will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Fleetwood has the most likely position - 17 (7.97%), has project points - 55, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (23.74%), has project points - 40, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 14, importance 37, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Forest Green could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fleetwood will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League One
22.10.22	Exeter City - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Fleetwood Town - Manchester United U21	3:2 penalties ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Fleetwood Town - Shrewsbury Town	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Portsmouth - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
04.10.22	Burton Albion - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLTW
- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
22.10.22	Forest Green Rovers - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Forest Green Rovers - Exeter City	4:1 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Port Vale - Forest Green Rovers	2:2 ✺
11.10.22	Peterborough United - Forest Green Rovers	4:1 ✺
08.10.22	Forest Green Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.01.12	Forest Green Rovers - Fleetwood Town	N/A

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