Match Info

League One - Round 36

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)


	Barnsley		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	3.1	Watch
	1.98	3.7	3.3
	2.08	3.7	3.15	Watch
	2.16	3.8	3.29
	2.12	3.6	3.18	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.1
	2.1	3.7	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.93)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	3.17 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
45%

Draw
25.5%

Exeter City
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.8%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Barnsley - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 7. O'Keeffe C. 6. de Gevigney M. 15. O'Connell E. 5. Shepherd J. 45. Yoganathan V. 48. Connell L. (C) 8. Phillips A. 9. Bradshaw T. 19. Cleary R. 10. McGoldrick D.	1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 20. Woodhouse L. 2. McMillan J. 14. Niskanen I. 6. Brierley E. 34. Oakes L. 3. Rydel R. 7. Mendes C. 10. Aitchison J. 9. Wareham J.
Substitutes
18. Banks S. 30. Bland J. 51. Flavell K. (G) 17. Gent G. 20. Lennon C. 14. Ogbeta N. 27. Watson T.	42. Birch G. 23. Bycroft J. (G) 12. Cole R. 19. Cox S. 45. Cummins C. 27. Magennis J. 29. McDonald K.
Coaches
Hourihane C.	Green D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Yoganathan V. ⚽, McGoldrick D. (A),
24', Rydel R. 🟨,
29', Shepherd J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rydel R. ↓, Cummins C. ↑,
51', Shepherd J. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
63', Mendes C. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
70', McMillan J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
72', Cleary R. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
72', Bradshaw T. ↓, Bland J. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Wareham J. ⚽, Magennis J. (A),
83', Aitchison J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
89', Phillips A. ↓, Watson T. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Exeter has had a series of home games.

Barnsley might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Barnsley: Chirewa T. (Inactive) Earl J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D. (Inactive) Borges P. (Knee Injury) Cole R. (Inactive) McDonald K. (Inactive) Mendes C. (Inactive) Yfeko J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Barnsley: Kelly P. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Exeter: Doyle-Hayes J. (Inactive) Fitzwater J. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Outrights of English League One for now

Barnsley: 0.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Barnsley	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Barnsley - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.43%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Exeter City - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 25.61%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
03.03.26	Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Leyton Orient - Barnsley	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Huddersfield Town - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Barnsley - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Barnsley - AFC Wimbledon	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWT
- Exeter City
English League One
03.03.26	Exeter City - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers	1:5 ✺
21.02.26	Peterborough United - Exeter City	3:3 ✺
17.02.26	Exeter City - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Exeter City - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
20.12.25	Exeter City - Barnsley	3:0
01.04.25	Barnsley - Exeter City	1:2
14.12.24	Exeter City - Barnsley	1:2
27.01.24	Barnsley - Exeter City	1:2
07.10.23	Exeter City - Barnsley	0:1
28.03.23	Exeter City - Barnsley	3:1
08.10.22	Barnsley - Exeter City	0:2

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