The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 24.4%
Draw 27.9%
Ipswich Town 47.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
27.7%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
27.9%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ipswich Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ipswich Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
20%
70%
Barnsley - Ipswich Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Ipswich will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 49.9% – 90.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Barnsley has the most likely position - 4 (86.05%), project points - 90, currently - 85, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (>99%), a chance of promoted (34%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ipswich has the most likely position - 2 (50.36%), project points - 97, currently - 91, not chance of relegated, a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), a good chance of promoted (95%), a chance of win league (42%).
This event has quality46, importance56, match rating51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 0.
Barnsley is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ipswich in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Ipswich will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.