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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 26.5%
Draw 24.2%
Cardiff City 49.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
24.5%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
24.6%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
22.2%
55.6%
Barnsley - Cardiff City Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Cardiff will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 7. O'Keeffe C. 6. de Gevigney M. 15. O'Connell E. 5. Shepherd J. 30. Bland J. 48. Connell L. (C) 45. Yoganathan V. 10. McGoldrick D. 18. Banks S. 9. Bradshaw T.
13. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 48. Lawlor D. 12. Chambers C. (C) 23. Scanlon C. 6. Wintle R. 18. Robertson A. 11. Tanner O. 10. Colwill R. 16. Willock C. 8. Kellyman O.
Substitutes
19. Cleary R. 51. Flavell K. (G) 17. Gent G. 20. Lennon C. 14. Ogbeta N. 8. Phillips A. 27. Watson T.
45. Ashford C. 3. Bagan J. 27. Colwill J. 2. Fish W. 44. Kpakio R. 47. Robinson C. 14. Turnbull D.
Coaches
Hourihane C.
Barry-Murphy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Colwill R. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Banks S. ⚽,
43', Lawlor D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Scanlon C. ↓, Bagan J. ↑,
56', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
65', Bradshaw T. ↓, Cleary R. ↑,
65', Banks S. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
69', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
69', Kellyman O. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
80', Lawlor D. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
89', Bland J. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
Preview
Postponed due to international match.
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 0.
Barnsley has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cardiff's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Barnsley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Jalo F.
(Knee Injury)
Roberts M.
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Hamstring Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
Ng P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robertson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tanner O.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1.1).
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Goodman O. (G) 
O'Keeffe C. 
de Gevigney M. 
Shepherd J. 
Bland J. 
Banks S. 
Robertson A. 
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