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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 29.4%
Draw 26.3%
Birmingham City 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.7%
25.5%
49.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
24.7%
51.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnsley that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Barnsley - Birmingham City Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Killip B. (G) 6. de Gevigney M. 4. Roberts M. 5. Pines D. 7. O'Keeffe C. 8. Phillips A. 48. Connell L. (C) 3. Russell J. 17. Gent G. 44. Humphrys S. 40. Keillor-Dunn D.
21. Allsop R. (G) 6. Bielik K. (C) 4. Klarer C. 25. Davies B. 2. Laird E. 24. Iwata T. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 20. Cochrane A. 26. Harris L. 28. Stansfield J. 9. May A.
Substitutes
9. Cosgrove S. 2. Cotter B. 18. Craig M. 15. Lofthouse K. 21. McCarthy C. 50. Nwakali K. 12. Smith J. (G)
19. Gardner-Hickman T. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 27. Khela B. 12. Leonard M. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 5. Sanderson D. 33. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Clarke D.
Davies C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Cochrane A. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
15', Connell L. 🟨,
23', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
31', Harris L. 🟨,
38', Phillips A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Harris L. ↓, Jutkiewicz L. ↑,
50', Roberts M. ↓, McCarthy C. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Paik Seung-Ho (Own goal),
60', 1 - 1, Stansfield J. ⚽,
61', May A. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
70', Phillips A. 🟨,
77', Keillor-Dunn D. ↓, Cosgrove S. ↑,
77', McCarthy C. ↓, Nwakali K. ↑,
77', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Stansfield J. ⚽, Paik Seung-Ho (A),
83', Cosgrove S. 🟨,
87', Laird E. 🟨,
90+1', Humphrys S. ↓, Lofthouse K. ↑,
90+4', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 2.
Barnsley is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Birmingham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Birmingham will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:18 (average 1.4:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).
Watch
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Killip B. (G) 
de Gevigney M. 
Pines D. 
O'Keeffe C. 
Russell J. 
Bielik K. (C) 
Klarer C. 
Iwata T. 
Paik Seung-Ho 
Harris L. 
Craig M. 
Nwakali K. 
Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 
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