Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Claudio Fabian Tapia (Barracas)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Barracas Central		Sarmiento de Junín

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.7	3.7	Watch
	2.4	2.78	3.5	Watch
	2.47	2.81	3.71
	2.54	2.83	3.28	Watch
	2.3	2.63	3.6
	2.33	2.78	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.42)	2.76 ↓ (2.95)	3.62 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
39.5%

Draw
34.3%

Sarmiento de Junín
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.6%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

31.3%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	50%	6.2%

Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mino M. (G) 2. Capraro N. 15. Rak Y. 31. Demartini N. 4. Martinez D. 5. Miloc D. 10. Tapia I. (C) 33. Maroni G. 6. Insua R. 21. Gamba L. 7. Bruera F.	1. Burrai J. (G) 29. Santamaria T. 34. Seyral A. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 77. Pasquini N. 5. Garcia M. 14. Martinez M. 19. Contrera J. 25. Villalba C. 15. Zabala C. 27. Marabel J.
Substitutes
13. Barrios R. 28. Bogarin R. 11. Briasco N. 37. Campi G. 20. Candia J. 18. Duarte M. 1. Espinola J. (G) 25. Gordillo Y. 16. Guaraz I. A. 9. Morales G. 8. Porra T. 79. Puig M.	35. Alaggia F. 26. Arismendi Y. 12. Ayala T. (G) 33. Diaz G. 18. Gimenez O. 11. Gomez J. 32. Gonzalez A. 7. Magnin P. 40. Marquez B. 30. Monaco M. 10. Renteria J. 3. Suarez L.
Coaches
Insua R.	Sava F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Marabel J. ⚽, Santamaria T. (A),
33', Santamaria T. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Villalba C. ⚽, Marabel J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez D. ↓, Candia J. ↑,
46', Gamba L. ↓, Morales G. ↑,
46', Bruera F. ↓, Porra T. ↑,
61', Tapia I. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Insua R. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Santamaria T. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
76', Maroni G. ↓, Duarte M. ↑,
81', Martinez M. ↓, Alaggia F. ↑,
81', Villalba C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
82', Marabel J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
87', Burrai J. 🟨,
90+3', Contrera J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 0.

Barracas Central is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarmiento's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Sarmiento has had a series of home games.

Barracas Central might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.03.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Barracas Central - Tigre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.7 TWWTW
- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Racing	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.09.25	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1
08.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	1:1
19.05.24	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.02.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	0:0
02.10.23	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.02.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	3:5
08.10.22	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1

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