Match Info

League Two - Round 36

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)

Referee: Dale A. (Eng)


	Chesterfield		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.5
	1.78	3.45	4.45	Watch
	1.85	3.59	4.55
	1.84	3.49	4.16	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.33
	1.79	3.52	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.88)	3.48 ↓ (3.51)	4.38 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
52%

Draw
26.8%

Shrewsbury Town
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.5%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

27.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 29. Curtis S. 6. McFadzean K. 26. Swinkels S. 2. Owolabi-Belewu M. 4. Naylor T. (C) 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 36. Braybrooke S. 28. Berry-McNally J. 9. Grigg W.	1. Cox M. (G) 20. Kabia I. 4. Anderson T. 5. Boyle W. (C) 26. Stubbs S. 30. Berkoe K. 7. McDermott T. 10. Sang T. 16. Freeman N. 19. Morgan I. 21. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
Substitutes
10. Bonis L. 25. Dickson W. 17. Dobra A. 44. Donacien J. 22. Dunkley C. 7. Mandeville L. 46. Pearce T.	3. Benning M. 12. Brook W. (G) 38. England I. 23. Lee I. 9. Lloyd G. 14. Perry T. 11. Scully A.
Coaches
Cook P.	Cowan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Naylor T. ⚽, Markanday D. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ⚽, Sang T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Stirk R. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
55', Freeman N. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
65', McDermott T. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ⚽,
71', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
72', Naylor T. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
72', Owolabi-Belewu M. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
76', Morgan I. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
78', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
80', Cox M. 🟨,
84', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 🟨,
85', 2 - 2, Pearce T. ⚽,
90+2', Dobra A. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 3, Stubbs S. ⚽, Sang T. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

Chesterfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shrewsbury is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chesterfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chesterfield is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J. (Inactive) Gordon L. (Injury) Hobson B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive) Marquis J. (Inactive) Ruffels J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Scully A. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Chesterfield: 9.07% Shrewsbury: 0.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chesterfield	10	4	3	3	17:14	3	15
18	Shrewsbury	10	3	2	5	9:15	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Chesterfield - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.44%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Shrewsbury Town - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 24.08%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English League Two
03.03.26	Chesterfield - Colchester United	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Barnet - Chesterfield	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Crawley Town - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Chesterfield - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Chesterfield - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTWT
- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
28.02.26	Shrewsbury Town - Walsall	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Salford City - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Shrewsbury Town - Notts County	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
20.12.25	Shrewsbury Town - Chesterfield	0:1
English League One
11.03.17	Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town	1:1
20.08.16	Shrewsbury Town - Chesterfield	2:1
02.01.16	Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town	7:1
18.08.15	Shrewsbury Town - Chesterfield	1:2

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