The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barrow 37.3%
Draw 31.5%
Northampton Town 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
31.2%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
31%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Barrow - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Northampton will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% โ 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Barrow has the most likely position - 12 (9.18%), has project points - 66, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Northampton has the most likely position - 3 (18.59%), has project points - 80, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a good chance of promoted (51%), has a small chance of win league (8%).
This event has small quality12, importance41, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Barrow is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Northampton is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Barrow won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
Watch
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