The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Salford City 33.8%
Draw 30%
Northampton Town 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
27.9%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.1%
26.5%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salford City's form might have worsened.
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Northampton Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northampton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.8%
38.9%
33.3%
Salford City - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Northampton will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.4% – 61.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Salford has the most likely position - 4 (10.47%), has project points - 73, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Northampton has the most likely position - 2 (25.11%), has project points - 84, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a good chance of promoted (67%), has a small chance of win league (15%).
This event has small quality17, importance59, match rating38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Salford is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Northampton have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Salford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Salford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
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