Match Info

Date: 19 August 2021, Thursday


	Basel		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	1.25	5	12	Watch
	1.28	5.25	7.25	Watch
	1.3	5.8	8.3
	1.26	5.4	8.2
	1.25	5.99	9.07
	1.25	6	9.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.41)	5.57 ↑ (4.34)	9.09 ↑ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
73.2%

Draw
16.6%

Hammarby
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

21.2%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.9%

17.8%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basel's performance.

Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Basel - Hammarby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Basel in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Hammarby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hammarby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Basel is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Basel to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.08.21	Basel - Ujpest	4:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
08.08.21	Basel - Servette	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Ujpest - Basel	1:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
01.08.21	Basel - Sion	6:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Partizani Tirana - Basel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
15.08.21	Hammarby - Elfsborg	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.08.21	Hammarby - Čukarički	5:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
08.08.21	IFK Göteborg - Hammarby	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Čukarički - Hammarby	3:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.08.21	IFK Östersunds - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLT

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