Match Info

Super League - Round 3

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: St. Jakob-Park (Basel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Basel		Thun

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.00	4.00	Watch
	1.77	4.00	3.90
	1.80	3.95	3.75
	1.83	4.33	3.93
	1.78	4.26	3.89	Watch
	1.79	4.25	3.85
	1.80	4.00	3.82	Watch
	1.80	4.10	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.98)	4.11 ↑ (3.93)	3.87 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
52.8%

Draw
22.9%

Thun
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

24%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basel's performance.

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Basel - Thun Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Basel will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Salvi M. (G) 6. Tsunemoto K. 24. Daniliuc F. (C) 55. Victory A. 29. Cisse M. 8. Thorell L. 4. Omeragic B. 22. Leroy L. 18. Sow A. 9. Celar Z. 11. Olaigbe K.	1. Steffen N. (G) 37. Dahler L. 5. Burgy N. 19. Bamert J. (C) 47. Fehr F. 70. Reichmuth N. 8. Saiz F. 13. Zoukit N. 21. Derbaci D. 11. Stewart L. 80. Lengen S.
Substitutes
23. Ajeti Al. 14. Bacanin A. 44. Harder J. 37. Koloto G. 5. Metinho 7. Otele P. 49. Renato (G) 10. Shaqiri X. 3. Vouilloz N.	17. Balaruban A. 33. Gutbub M. 27. Heule M. 52. Ilic A. 96. Labeau B. 30. Maier N. 78. Matoshi V. 16. Roth J. 25. Spycher T. (G)
Coaches
Lichtsteiner S.	Privitelli G. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Sow A. ⚽, Olaigbe K. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Sow A. ⚽, Leroy L. (A),
38', Reichmuth N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Zoukit N. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
46', Lengen S. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Celar Z. ⚽, Sow A. (A),
54', Reichmuth N. ↓, Maier N. ↑,
60', Olaigbe K. ↓, Otele P. ↑,
60', Thorell L. ↓, Shaqiri X. ↑,
61', Fehr F. 🟨,
67', Fehr F. ↓, Heule M. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Stewart L. ⚽, Gutbub M. (A),
74', Stewart L. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
75', Celar Z. ↓, Koloto G. ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Shaqiri X. ⚽, Sow A. (A),
88', Leroy L. 🟨,
89', Omeragic B. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
89', Cisse M. ↓, Vouilloz N. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 2, Labeau B. ⚽, Derbaci D. (A),
90+2', Roth J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Thun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Basel is the team to beat.

There will not play in Basel: Kaio Eduardo (Knee Injury) Sigua G. (Injury)

There will not play in Thun: Kait M. (Foot Injury) Montolio G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 43:26. (average 2.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:15. (average 2.3:1.3).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Basel: 6.42% Thun: 1.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Basel	9	4	1	4	17:17	0	13
9	Thun	9	3	1	5	15:23	-8	10

Last Results with these Odds

Basel - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.66%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
01.08.26	Basel - Lausanne-Sport	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Servette - Basel	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Basel - Juventus	0:0 ✺
08.07.26	Basel - Yverdon	0:3 ✺
26.06.26	Rapperswil-Jona - Basel	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLW
- FC Thun
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Thun - Vikingur Reykjavik	3:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
01.08.26	Thun - Young Boys	0:6 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Thun	3:2 ET ✺
Swiss Super League
25.07.26	Luzern - Thun	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Thun - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
02.05.26	Basel - Thun	3:1
18.04.26	Thun - Basel	3:1
01.02.26	Basel - Thun	1:2
13.09.25	Thun - Basel	1:3
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Basel - Thun	2:0
27.06.21	Basel - Thun	2:3
09.01.21	Basel - Thun	2:2

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