Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 26

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Bastia		Martigues

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	8.5	Watch
	1.38	4.4	8.75
	1.38	4.5	8.2
	1.4	4.32	10.34
	1.39	4.3	9.02	Watch
	1.4	4.4	8
	1.42	4.56	8.95	Watch
	1.38	4.5	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	4.41 ↑ (3.96)	8.75 ↑ (7.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
67.8%

Draw
21.4%

Martigues
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

23.4%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

22.6%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Martigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Bastia - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Martigues will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Placide J. (G) 15. Bohnert F. 28. Akueson G. 3. Guevara J. 24. Meynadier T. 13. Ducrocq T. 2. Inao Oulai C. 22. Sebas J. 10. Boutrah A. 66. Janneh J. 33. Ble M.	20. Etile Y. (G) 21. Hadjem Y. 39. Saintini N. 5. Falette S. 18. Amraoui A. 26. Belloumou S. 29. Mendy O. 12. Robin M. 6. Kembolo F. 27. Ipiele A. 9. Montiel R.
Substitutes
19. Aiki A. 17. Ariss Z. 11. Cisse L. 14. Etoga L. 23. Fabri J. (G) 6. Guidi D. 7. Vincent C.	50. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 41. Bamba M. 22. Djaha A. 14. Moussiti-Oko B. 17. Shamal S. 23. Siby M. 8. Zouaoui I.
Coaches
Tavenot B.	Malek H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Ducrocq T. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guevara J. ↓, Guidi D. ↑,
61', Robin M. ↓, Siby M. ↑,
62', Montiel R. ↓, Moussiti-Oko B. ↑,
63', Anzimati-Aboudou A. 🟨,
64', Akueson G. 🟨,
66', Ble M. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
74', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
75', Belloumou S. ↓, Zouaoui I. ↑,
75', Ipiele A. ↓, Shamal S. ↑,
76', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
76', Sebas J. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
82', Janneh J. 🟨,
84', Kembolo F. 🟨,
85', Saintini N. ↓, Djaha A. ↑,
87', Boutrah A. ↓, Ariss Z. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Bastia is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Bastia: Maggiotti J. (Injury) Mazikou S. (Injury) Tomi F. (Injury) Vincent C. (Injury)

There will not play in Martigues: Diawara A. (Injury) Orinel O. (Injury) Saintini N. (Injury) Solvet S. (Yellow Cards)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
28.02.25	Troyes - Bastia	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Bastia - Red Star	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Clermont - Bastia	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Rodez - Bastia	0:2 ✺
31.01.25	Bastia - Metz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTWT
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
28.02.25	Laval - Martigues	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Martigues - Annecy	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Red Star - Martigues	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Martigues - Troyes	1:2 ✺
31.01.25	Dunkerque - Martigues	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.08.24	Martigues - Bastia	0:1

Bastia - Martigues: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide