Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 22

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Turcan (Martigues)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Martigues		Troyes

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.25	2	Watch
	3.8	3.2	2
	3.6	3.05	2.01
	4.15	3.26	2.04
	3.89	3.32	1.97	Watch
	3.75	3.3	2
	4.17	3.34	2.02	Watch
	3.6	3.05	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.63)	3.22 ↓ (3.61)	2.01 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigues
24.3%

Draw
29.1%

Troyes
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

25.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

26.4%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Troyes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Troyes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	9.1%	54.5%

Martigues - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Troyes will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Marillat Y. (G) 21. Hadjem Y. 39. Saintini N. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. 18. Amraoui A. 12. Robin M. 26. Belloumou S. (C) 6. Kembolo F. 10. Tlili K. 9. Montiel R.	16. Lemaitre N. (G) 17. Mendes H. 4. Diaz Jr. M. 6. Monfray A. (C) 23. Gozzi P. 24. Adeline M. 10. M'Changama Y. 11. Said R. 26. Phliponeau A. 21. Irie C. 12. de Preville N.
Substitutes
41. Bamba M. 11. Diawara A. 20. Etile Y. (G) 27. Ipiele A. 24. Morante L. 14. Moussiti-Oko B. 23. Siby M.	. Boucher Z. (G) 3. Boura I. 14. Chavalerin X. 8. Diop M. 27. Dong K. 7. El Idrissy M. 5. Kante A.
Coaches
Malek H.	Dumont S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, de Preville N. ⚽,
15', Phliponeau A. 🟨,
27', 0 - 2, Said R. ⚽, de Preville N. (A),
32', Belloumou S. 🟨,
43', Tlili K. 🟥,
45+3', Saintini N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hadjem Y. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
46', Montiel R. ↓, Moussiti-Oko B. ↑,
61', Belloumou S. ↓, Siby M. ↑,
70', de Preville N. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
71', Phliponeau A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
72', Monfray A. 🟨,
73', Amraoui A. (Pen),
73', Kembolo F. ↓, Diawara A. ↑,
77', Adeline M. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
78', Gozzi P. 🟨,
90', Robin M. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Ipiele A. ⚽, Bamba M. (A),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Martigues could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Troyes have a series of home games.

Troyes will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Martigues: Diawara A. (Injury) Djaha A. (Injury) Gautier L. (Injury) Orinel O. (Injury) Robin M. (Injury) Tlili K. (Injury)

There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Troyes: Tahrat M. (Leg Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
31.01.25	Dunkerque - Martigues	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Martigues - Amiens	3:0 ✺
17.01.25	Grenoble - Martigues	1:0 ✺
10.01.25	Martigues - Clermont	0:1 ✺
03.01.25	Paris FC - Martigues	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 47.7 WWLLW
- Troyes AC
Coupe De France
04.02.25	Troyes - Brest	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
01.02.25	Troyes - Caen	3:0 ✺
24.01.25	Laval - Troyes	1:0 ✺
20.01.25	Troyes - Annecy	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Troyes - Rennes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Troyes - Martigues	4:0

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