Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Bayer Leverkusen		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	8	Watch
	1.4	4.6	8
	1.37	5.1	7.5
	1.36	5.4	7.4
	1.39	5.38	8.2
	1.36	5	8	Watch
	1.39	5.25	8.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)	5.14 ↓ (5.29)	7.97 ↓ (8.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
69.4%

Draw
18.6%

Arminia Bielefeld
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

17.9%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.3%

15.9%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Bayer Leverkusen - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 14).

Bayer has the most likely position - 3 (39.03%), has project points - 59, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (71%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Arminia has the most likely position - 15 (21.93%), has project points - 35, has currently - 25, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 66, importance 57, match rating 62. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Bayer is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arminia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bayer is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bayer to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayer won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
18.02.22	Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen	3:2 ✺
12.02.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	4:2 ✺
06.02.22	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	2:5 ✺
22.01.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	5:1 ✺
15.01.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWW
- Arminia Bielefeld
German Bundesliga
19.02.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Hoffenheim - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
21.01.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
16.01.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
03.10.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4
14.03.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2
21.11.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2
German DFB Pokal
24.09.13	Arminia Bielefeld - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2
31.10.12	Arminia Bielefeld - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3 OT

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