The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hoffenheim 66.7%
Draw 20%
Arminia Bielefeld 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.4%
22%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
13.7%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hoffenheim's performance.
Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-28.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hoffenheim that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arminia Bielefeld could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
15.4%
17.9%
Hoffenheim - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions
Users Predictions:
78 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 52 - 66.7%). Arminia will win (votes: 14 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 56.2% – 77.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 15).
Hoffenheim has the most likely position - 6 (15.78%), has project points - 51, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (15%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (21.93%), has project points - 34, has currently - 22, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hoffenheim is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Arminia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Hoffenheim is absolute favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.