Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen)

Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports Golf
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Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
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Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Canal+ Live 4
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 5, Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	Wowow Live
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
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Mexico	HBO Max, MAX
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	TV10, Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Bayer Leverkusen		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.25
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.3	3.5	3.2
	2.31	3.54	3.25
	2.23	3.53	3.29	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.25
	2.31	3.55	3.28
	2.3	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.22)	3.48 ↓ (3.65)	3.23 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
42.5%

Draw
27.7%

Inter Milan
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.3%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

26.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	44%	16%

Bayer Leverkusen - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 30 - 40%). Inter will win (votes: 12 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 33 - 44%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.8% – 55.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Kovar M. (G) 23. Mukiele N. 12. Tapsoba E. 4. Tah J. (C) 3. Hincapie P. 20. Grimaldo A. 25. Palacios E. 34. Xhaka G. 30. Frimpong J. 19. Tella N. 10. Wirtz F.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 6. de Vrij S. (C) 95. Bastoni A. 36. Darmian M. 16. Frattesi D. 20. Calhanoglu H. 7. Zielinski P. 30. Carlos Augusto 9. Thuram M. 99. Taremi M.
Substitutes
8. Andrich R. 13. Arthur 44. Belocian J. 24. Garcia A. 1. Hradecky L. (G) 36. Lomb N. (G) 40. Onyeka F. 14. Schick P. 29. Stepanov A. 11. Terrier M.	50. Aidoo M. 8. Arnautovic M. 21. Asllani K. 23. Barella N. 17. Buchanan T. 40. Calligaris A. (G) 32. Dimarco F. 13. Martinez J. (G) 10. Martinez L. 22. Mkhitaryan H.
Coaches
Alonso X.	Inzaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Calhanoglu H. 🟨,
27', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Carlos Augusto ↓, Dimarco F. ↑,
66', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Asllani K. ↑,
66', Frattesi D. ↓, Barella N. ↑,
66', Thuram M. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
83', Tella N. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
85', Taremi M. ↓, Arnautovic M. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Mukiele N. ⚽, Terrier M. (A),
90+4', Wirtz F. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
90+4', Grimaldo A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,

Preview

Bayer in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Inter is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Inter could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bayer will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bayer: Adli A. (Shin Injury) Boniface V. (Thigh Injury) Hofmann J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Inter: Di Gennaro R. (Finger Injury) Pavard B. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Schick P. (Calf Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bayer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
07.12.24	Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.24	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.11.24	Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Red Bull Salzburg	5:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
23.11.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWW
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
06.12.24	Inter Milan - Parma	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.24	Inter Milan - RB Leipzig	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.11.24	Verona - Inter Milan	0:5 ✺
10.11.24	Inter Milan - Napoli	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.11.24	Inter Milan - Arsenal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
10.08.20	Inter Milan - Bayer Leverkusen	2:1

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