Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports Golf
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 5
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 4
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 5
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ 360
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 7, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Inter Milan		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7
	1.44	4.8	6.5
	1.46	4.85	6.7
	1.46	4.9	7.28
	1.48	4.72	7.1	Watch
	1.4	5	7.5
	1.47	5.07	7.11
	1.46	4.75	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	4.8 ↑ (4.77)	7.01 ↑ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
66.2%

Draw
20%

RB Leipzig
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

19.3%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	9.2%	10.8%

Inter Milan - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (51 of 64 users predict this - 79.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.83% – 89.55%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 28. Pavard B. 6. de Vrij S. 95. Bastoni A. 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 7. Zielinski P. 32. Dimarco F. 99. Taremi M. 10. Martinez L. (C)	1. Gulacsi P. (G) 3. Geertruida L. 4. Orban W. (C) 23. Lukeba C. 39. Henrichs B. 14. Baumgartner C. 44. Kampl K. 8. Haidara A. 7. Nusa A. 11. Openda L. 19. Andre Silva
Substitutes
50. Aidoo M. 8. Arnautovic M. 21. Asllani K. 31. Bisseck Y. 17. Buchanan T. 30. Carlos Augusto 36. Darmian M. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H. 9. Thuram M.	47. Gebel V. 20. Ouedraogo A. 13. Seiwald N. 30. Sesko B. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 18. Vermeeren A.
Coaches
Inzaghi S.	Rose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Pavard B. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Lukeba C. (Own goal), Dimarco F. (A),
33', Bastoni A. 🟨,
34', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
44', Pavard B. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Baumgartner C. ↓, Ouedraogo A. ↑,
61', Andre Silva ↓, Sesko B. ↑,
61', Haidara A. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
65', Taremi M. ↓, Thuram M. ↑,
65', Bastoni A. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
70', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
70', Rose M. 🟨,
76', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Mkhitaryan H. ↑,
76', Martinez L. ↓, Arnautovic M. ↑,
85', Lukeba C. 🟨,
86', Geertruida L. ↓, Gebel V. ↑,

Preview

Inter in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

RB Leipzig is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Inter is certain favorite.

There will not play in Inter: Acerbi F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury) Elmas E. (Muscle Injury) Klostermann L. (Thigh Injury) Poulsen Y. (Hip Injury) Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Schlager X. (Knee Injury) Simons X. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Muscle Injury) Frattesi D. (Ankle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Inter to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
23.11.24	Verona - Inter Milan	0:5 ✺
10.11.24	Inter Milan - Napoli	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.11.24	Inter Milan - Arsenal	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.11.24	Inter Milan - Venezia	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWWW
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
23.11.24	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	4:3 ✺
09.11.24	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.24	Celtic - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
02.11.24	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	RB Leipzig - St. Pauli	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLW

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