Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
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Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Canal+ Live 3
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 1 ROI, Shabake 3
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	Wowow Prime
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Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1
Mexico	FOX One
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
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North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
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Poland	Canal+ Extra 2, TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Amazon Prime Video, Sport 24 At Sea, VIX App


	Inter Milan		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.72	3.2	2.82
	2.7	3.46	2.66
	2.79	3.22	2.76	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.63
	2.76	3.27	2.88
	2.66	3.14	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.62)	3.21 ↓ (3.45)	2.74 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
35.5%

Draw
29.6%

Arsenal
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.1%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.8%	45.9%	21.3%

Inter Milan - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 20 - 32.8%). Arsenal will win (votes: 13 - 21.3%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 45.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.4% – 58.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 10 - 43.5%). Arsenal (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Inter (1.93) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 50%) .

DC - Arsenal (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 13 - 44.8%). Arsenal (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 25. Akanji M. 15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 11. Luis Henrique 23. Barella N. 7. Zielinski P. 8. Sucic P. 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez L. (C) 9. Thuram M.	1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 2. Saliba W. 3. Mosquera C. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 23. Merino M. 36. Zubimendi M. 10. Eze E. 7. Saka B. (C) 9. Gabriel Jesus 19. Trossard L.
Substitutes
31. Bisseck Y. 14. Bonny A. 40. Calligaris A. (G) 30. Carlos Augusto 43. Cocchi M. 36. Darmian M. 6. de Vrij S. 17. Diouf A. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 6. Gabriel 14. Gyökeres V. 29. Havertz K. 20. Madueke N. 11. Martinelli G. 16. Norgaard C. 22. Nwaneri E. 8. Odegaard M. 41. Rice D. 35. Setford T. (G) 4. White B.
Coaches
Chivu C.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Gabriel Jesus ⚽, Timber J. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Sucic P. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Gabriel Jesus ⚽, Trossard L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Martinez L. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
63', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
64', Eze E. ↓, Rice D. ↑,
64', Timber J. ↓, White B. ↑,
72', Merino M. 🟨,
72', Bastoni A. 🟨,
75', Mosquera C. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
75', Gabriel Jesus ↓, Gyökeres V. ↑,
79', Trossard L. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
82', Acerbi F. 🟨,
82', Luis Henrique ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
82', Zielinski P. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Gyökeres V. ⚽, Saka B. (A),
90+2', Rice D. 🟨,

Preview

Inter has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arsenal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Arsenal has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Muscle Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Injury) Dowman M. (Ankle Injury) Hincapie P. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Inter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Inter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Arsenal: 11.4% Inter: 2.22%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
25	Inter	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
17.01.26	Udinese - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Inter Milan - Lecce	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Parma - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Inter Milan - Bologna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWW
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
17.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
14.01.26	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Portsmouth - Arsenal	1:4 ✺
English Premier League
08.01.26	Arsenal - Liverpool	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Bournemouth - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
06.11.24	Inter Milan - Arsenal	1:0

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