Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	00:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 3
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 2
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Haiti	15:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI, Shabake 3
Israel	22:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	05:00	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	02:00	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1
Mexico	14:00	FOX One
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 2, TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	21:00	Kanal A, Voyo
South Africa	22:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	01:00	Varzish Sport
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Sport 24 At Sea, VIX App


	Inter Milan		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.72	3.2	2.82
	2.7	3.46	2.66
	2.79	3.22	2.76	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.63
	2.76	3.27	2.88
	2.66	3.14	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.62)	3.21 ↓ (3.45)	2.74 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
35.5%

Draw
29.6%

Arsenal
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.8%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.8%	45.9%	21.3%

Inter Milan - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 20 - 32.8%). Arsenal will win (votes: 13 - 21.3%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 45.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.4% – 58.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 10 - 43.5%). Arsenal (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Inter (1.93) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 50%) .

DC - Arsenal (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 13 - 44.8%). Arsenal (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 25. Akanji M. 15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 11. Luis Henrique 23. Barella N. 7. Zielinski P. 8. Sucic P. 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez L. (C) 9. Thuram M.	1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 2. Saliba W. 3. Mosquera C. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 23. Merino M. 36. Zubimendi M. 10. Eze E. 7. Saka B. (C) 9. Gabriel Jesus 19. Trossard L.
Substitutes
31. Bisseck Y. 14. Bonny A. 40. Calligaris A. (G) 30. Carlos Augusto 43. Cocchi M. 36. Darmian M. 6. de Vrij S. 17. Diouf A. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 6. Gabriel 14. Gyökeres V. 29. Havertz K. 20. Madueke N. 11. Martinelli G. 16. Norgaard C. 22. Nwaneri E. 8. Odegaard M. 41. Rice D. 35. Setford T. (G) 4. White B.
Coaches
Chivu C.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Gabriel Jesus ⚽, Timber J. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Sucic P. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Gabriel Jesus ⚽, Trossard L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Martinez L. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
63', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
64', Eze E. ↓, Rice D. ↑,
64', Timber J. ↓, White B. ↑,
72', Merino M. 🟨,
72', Bastoni A. 🟨,
75', Mosquera C. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
75', Gabriel Jesus ↓, Gyökeres V. ↑,
79', Trossard L. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
82', Acerbi F. 🟨,
82', Luis Henrique ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
82', Zielinski P. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Gyökeres V. ⚽, Saka B. (A),
90+2', Rice D. 🟨,

Preview

Inter has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arsenal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Arsenal has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Muscle Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Injury) Dowman M. (Ankle Injury) Hincapie P. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Inter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Inter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Arsenal	3	2	1	0	6:2	4	7
21	Inter	3	1	0	2	5:6	-1	3

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Arsenal: 12.14% Inter: 1.9%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
17.01.26	Udinese - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Inter Milan - Lecce	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Parma - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Inter Milan - Bologna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWW
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
17.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
14.01.26	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Portsmouth - Arsenal	1:4 ✺
English Premier League
08.01.26	Arsenal - Liverpool	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Bournemouth - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
06.11.24	Inter Milan - Arsenal	1:0

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