The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monaco 58.8%
Draw 22.8%
Auxerre 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.2%
22.1%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62%
21.5%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.7%
7.5%
3.8%
Monaco - Auxerre Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Monaco (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Monaco will win
(47 of 53 users predict this - 88.68%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.15% – 97.21%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 8 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hradecky L. (G) 5. Kehrer T. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 25. Faes W. 27. Diatta K. 4. Teze J. 23. Bamba A. 13. Mawissa C. 11. Akliouche M. 31. Fati A. 9. Balogun F.
16. Leon D. (G) 29. Senaya M. 20. Diomande S. 24. Okoh B. 14. Mensah G. 42. Owusu E. (C) 5. Danois K. 28. Faivre R. 19. Namaso D. 22. Oppegard F. 10. Sinayoko L.
Substitutes
24. Adingra S. 14. Biereth M. 41. Cabral P. 28. Coulibaly M. 3. Dier E. 10. Golovin A. 16. Kohn P. (G) 8. Pogba P. 49. Toure I.
8. Ahamada N. 7. Casimir J. 44. Cissokho M. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 9. Mara S. 30. Negrel T. (G) 4. Sierralta F. 27. Sy L.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.
Pelissier C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Akliouche M. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Danois K. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Sinayoko L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bamba A. ↓, Adingra S. ↑,
54', Oppegard F. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Fati A. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
59', 2 - 2, Balogun F. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Zakaria D. 🟨,
68', Senaya M. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
68', Namaso D. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
72', Leon D. ↓, De Percin T. ↑,
73', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
77', Teze J. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
78', Fati A. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
83', Sy L. 🟨,
88', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
90+5', Mensah G. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 5.
Monaco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Auxerre's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Monaco is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Monaco: Brunner P.
(Injury)
Caio Henrique
(Thigh Injury)
Camara L.
(Yellow Cards)
Idumbo S.
(Injury)
Minamino T.
(Knee Injury)
Ouattara K.
(Knee Injury)
Salisu M.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderson
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly L.
(Injury)
Devernois T.
(Calf Injury)
El Azzouzi O.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Monaco: Golovin A.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Auxerre: Akpa C.
(Injury)
We predict that Monaco will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 2.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).