Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Restelo (Lisbon)

Referee: Ferreira V. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Belenenses		Académico de Viseu

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.6	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.78	3.45	2.06
	3.78	3.45	2.06
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.62	3.21	2.03
	3.45	3.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.32)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	2.02 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
25.8%

Draw
28.4%

Académico de Viseu
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

29.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Académico de Viseu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Académico de Viseu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Belenenses - Académico de Viseu Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Viseu will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viseu: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Grilo D. (G) 48. Manso T. 33. Correia R. 34. Ilori T. 5. Goncalves T. 28. Cruz H. (C) 21. Pina R. 8. Gomes Tavares D. 6. Chaby F. 77. Keita M. 87. Zequinha	1. Monteiro J. (G) 28. Bandarra M. 4. Almeida A. (C) 5. Arthur Chaves 77. Gomes H. 6. Messeguem S. 16. Mane S. 7. Yuri Araujo 88. Marquinho 11. Ott G. 33. Andre Clovis
Substitutes
25. Carvalho P. 16. Chapi 12. Dini F. 3. Fabao 23. Fernandes X. 9. Matos R. 14. Oliveira G. (G) 11. Sambu M. 99. Silva M.	8. Kone S. 52. Machado F. 95. Martim Augusto 58. Matheus Sampaio (G) 66. Milioransa I. 17. Pereira R. 20. Petkov S. 3. Pinto J. 21. Simonsen J.
Coaches
Barreto M.	Simao J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Chaby F. ↓, Dini F. ↑,
44', Ott G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Zequinha ↓, Matos R. ↑,
62', Manso T. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
62', Keita M. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Matos R. ⚽, Pina R. (A),
74', Messeguem S. ↓, Machado F. ↑,
82', Gomes Tavares D. 🟨,
83', Gomes H. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
83', Andre Clovis 🟨,
89', Marquinho 🟨,
90+7', Pina R. ↓, Fernandes X. ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Viseu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.24	Penafiel - Belenenses	3:0 ✺
29.03.24	Belenenses - Feirense	3:1 ✺
18.03.24	Vilaverdense - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	Belenenses - Leixões	1:2 ✺
05.03.24	Marítimo - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWTLT
- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
08.04.24	Académico de Viseu - Porto B	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Benfica B - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Académico de Viseu - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Nacional - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
04.03.24	Académico de Viseu - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.12.23	Académico de Viseu - Belenenses	3:1

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