Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio do Restelo (Lisbon)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV5, Sport TV+


	Belenenses		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.75	2.75
	2.2	3.3	2.75
	2.3	3.6	2.8
	2.33	3.87	2.85
	2.33	3.87	2.85
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	2.25	3.53	2.84
	2.21	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.3)	3.63 ↑ (3.41)	2.8 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
41.2%

Draw
25.6%

Benfica B
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.2%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

26.8%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Belenenses - Benfica B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Grilo D. (G) 25. Carvalho P. 33. Correia R. 37. Akas C. 5. Goncalves T. 28. Cruz H. 19. Valente D. (C) 77. Keita M. 23. Fernandes X. 21. Pina R. 9. Matos R.	92. Souza P. (G) 71. Tome J. 76. Gustavo Marques 62. Lacroix L. 81. Bajrami A. (C) 83. Luis R. 60. Felix N. 79. Felix H. 77. Sousa G. 89. Varela G. 52. Pereira H.
Substitutes
16. Chapi 12. Dini F. 3. Fabao 2. Machado J. 14. Oliveira G. (G) 11. Sambu M. 13. Serra A. 99. Silva M. 87. Zequinha	88. Caue 55. Fonseca J. 74. Jevsenak Z. 85. Lima I. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 48. Rodrigues R. 80. Santos P.
Coaches
Barreto M.	Verissimo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', Correia R. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Pina R. (Pen),
40', Fernandes X. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Matos R. ⚽, Goncalves T. (A),
44', 2 - 1, Bajrami A. ⚽, Gustavo Marques (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Lacroix L. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
61', Tome J. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
62', Valente D. 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Felix H. ⚽,
69', Keita M. ↓, Zequinha ↑,
70', Valente D. ↓, Dini F. ↑,
71', Varela G. ↓, Caue ↑,
73', 2 - 3, Pereira H. ⚽,
79', Felix H. 🟨,
79', Felix H. ↓, Jevsenak Z. ↑,
79', Luis R. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
81', Matos R. 🟨,
81', Zequinha 🟨,
90+1', Caue 🟨,
90+2', Pina R. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Belenenses is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Benfica B is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belenenses will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
03.05.24	Santa Clara - Belenenses	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Belenenses - Nacional	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Oliveirense - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Belenenses - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Penafiel - Belenenses	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWL
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
05.05.24	Benfica B - Paços de Ferreira	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Tondela - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	Nacional - Benfica B	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Benfica B - AVS	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Oliveirense - Benfica B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.01.24	Benfica B - Belenenses	2:1

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