Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Melo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Santa Clara		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	7.5
	1.35	4.1	7.75
	1.36	4.5	8.5
	1.33	5.07	10.17
	1.38	4.85	8.83
	1.29	4.5	9
	1.35	4.53	8.4
	1.36	4.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.31)	4.54 ↓ (4.61)	8.52 ↓ (8.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
68.7%

Draw
20.4%

Belenenses
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

19.9%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

19.1%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Santa Clara - Belenenses Predictions

Users Predictions: Santa Clara will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 5. Rafael Santos 13. Rocha L. 4. Pacheco P. 42. Lucas Soares 8. Ferreira P. 20. Adriano Firmino 32. MT 19. Almeida B. 30. Safira 70. Vinicius Lopes	22. Grilo D. (G) 25. Carvalho P. 37. Akas C. 34. Ilori T. 5. Goncalves T. 8. Gomes Tavares D. 28. Cruz H. (C) 77. Keita M. 23. Fernandes X. 21. Pina R. 9. Matos R.
Substitutes
18. Ageu E. 11. Andrezinho 74. Diaz M. (G) 2. Diogo Calila 49. Gabriel Silva 77. Klismahn G. 99. Rafael Martins 21. Semedo Y. 6. Velazquez S.	16. Chapi 12. Dini F. 3. Fabao 2. Machado J. 14. Oliveira G. (G) 11. Sambu M. 99. Silva M. 19. Valente D. 87. Zequinha
Coaches
Matos V.	Barreto M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
44', Pacheco P. 🟨,
45+3', Diogo Calila 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Carvalho P. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Diogo Calila ⚽,
57', Gomes Tavares D. ↓, Dini F. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Almeida B. ⚽,
75', Keita M. ↓, Zequinha ↑,
75', Matos R. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
78', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Velazquez S. ↑,
78', Rafael Santos ↓, Rafael Martins ↑,
78', Safira ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
79', Cruz H. 🟨,
81', MT ↓, Klismahn G. ↑,
83', Cruz H. ↓, Chapi ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Santa Clara is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
28.04.24	Porto B - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Santa Clara - Tondela	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Marítimo - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	AVS - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTLW
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
28.04.24	Belenenses - Nacional	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Oliveirense - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Belenenses - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Penafiel - Belenenses	3:0 ✺
29.03.24	Belenenses - Feirense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.12.23	Belenenses - Santa Clara	0:0

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