Match Info

Date: 31 July 2021, Saturday


	Belgrano		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.05	3	3.7
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	2.08	2.95	3.6
	2.19	3.04	3.84
	2.1	2.88	3.6
	2.09	3.05	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.05)	3.05 ↑ (3.05)	3.58 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
44.1%

Draw
30.2%

Alvarado
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

30.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvarado, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Belgrano - Alvarado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

Belgrano is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alvarado is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alvarado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Belgrano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.07.21	Tigre - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
19.07.21	Quilmes - Belgrano	2:3 ✺
11.07.21	Belgrano - Agropecuario Argentino	0:1 ✺
04.07.21	Deportivo Maipú - Belgrano	1:2 ✺
29.06.21	Belgrano - Temperley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLWW
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.07.21	Alvarado - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
16.07.21	Alvarado - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
10.07.21	Nueva Chicago - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
04.07.21	Alvarado - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
29.06.21	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.03.21	Alvarado - Belgrano	0:1
10.01.21	Belgrano - Alvarado	2:2
15.11.19	Belgrano - Alvarado	2:2

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