Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra (Cordoba)

Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)


	Belgrano		Delfín

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.5	5.5
	1.68	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.63	5.6
	1.7	3.52	5.48
	1.6	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.56	5.35	Watch
	1.64	3.55	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.78)	3.53 ↑ (3.49)	5.42 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
56.2%

Draw
26.5%

Delfín
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26.8%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Belgrano - Delfín Predictions

Users Predictions: Belgrano will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Losada N. (G) 37. Troilo M. 40. Moreno M. 45. Baldi A. 4. Barinaga J. 16. Rolon E. 5. Longo S. 26. Lencioni F. 10. Marin M. 29. Jara F. 11. Reyna B.	26. Heras B. (G) 13. Cuero Mercado J. W. 14. Gariglio I. 2. Goitea N. 3. Elordi J. M. 55. Reyes M. 5. Garcia C. 16. Castro L. 19. Alman J. 79. Tijanovich H. 9. Angulo J.
Substitutes
19. Chavarria P. 1. Chicco I. (G) 35. Facello F. 15. Garcia M. 24. Gonzalez F. 34. Heredia G. 2. Maffini G. 14. Palavecino M. 23. Quignon F. 43. Rami F. 6. Rebola A. 32. Rojas A.	30. Becerra L. 21. Dominguez L. 8. Gaggi E. 25. Humanante J. 18. Mejia M. 11. Messiniti N. 20. Mieles M. 7. Mino M. 4. Nazareno J. 33. Recalde Baez E. E. (G) 15. Sambonino K. 51. Zambrano J.
Coaches
Real J. C.	Duro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Losada N. 🟥,
18', Marin M. ↓, Chicco I. ↑,
38', Garcia C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gariglio I. ↓, Nazareno J. ↑,
58', Lencioni F. 🟨,
58', Longo S. 🟨,
60', Nazareno J. 🟨,
61', Garcia C. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Jara F. ⚽, Rolon E. (A),
64', 1 - 1, Angulo J. ⚽, Elordi J. M. (A),
65', Jara F. 🟨,
65', Goitea N. 🟨,
71', Lencioni F. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
71', Rolon E. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
72', Mejia M. 🟨,
76', Alman J. ↓, Messiniti N. ↑,
76', Tijanovich H. ↓, Gaggi E. ↑,
84', Reyna B. ↓, Facello F. ↑,
90+4', Baldi A. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Belgrano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Delfín has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Belgrano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.24	Real Tomayapo - Belgrano	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.04.24	Belgrano - Racing	0:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.04.24	Delfín - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.04.24	Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.24	Belgrano - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTWT
- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.05.24	Delfín - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:3 ✺
29.04.24	El Nacional - Delfín	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Delfín - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.04.24	Delfín - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
15.04.24	LDU Quito - Delfín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
11.04.24	Delfín - Belgrano	1:1

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