Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra (Cordoba)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Belgrano		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.85	Watch
	2.35	3	3.2
	2.68	2.88	2.92	Watch
	2.75	2.94	3.05
	2.63	2.94	2.97	Watch
	2.69	2.88	2.83	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.33)	2.94 ↓ (2.98)	2.98 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
36.5%

Draw
32%

Estudiantes La Plata
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

31.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	14.6%	73.2%

Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 30 - 73.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 59.6% – 86.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -3 - draw (1.02) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes La Plata will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 2 - 6.9%). Estudiantes (votes: 27 - 93.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 8. Compagnucci G. 14. Morales L. 17. Lopez L. 33. Ostchega T. 12. Sanchez U. 30. Saravia Salvia R. A. 11. Gonzalez F. 32. Mavilla J. 29. Jara F. 22. Fernandez N.	28. Muslera F. (G) 4. Gomez R. 6. Nunez S. 2. Rodriguez F. 15. Arzamendia S. 5. Ascacibar S. 32. Amondarain M. 10. Palacios T. 25. Medina C. 29. Perez Fabricio 9. Carrillo G.
Substitutes
45. Baldi A. 34. Heredia G. 51. Hernandes R. 2. Leguizamon A. 42. Lucco J. 63. Melano A. 15. Menossi L. 9. Passerini L. 19. Quignon F. 53. Velazquez J. 23. Vicentini M. (G) 20. Zelarayan G.	22. Castro A. 18. Cetre E. 40. Cornejo L. 3. Desabato M. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 8. Gabriel Neves 1. Iacovich F. (G) 37. Magdaleno M. 21. Piovi L. 7. Sosa J. 24. Suarez L.
Coaches
Zielinski R.	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Jara F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ostchega T. ↓, Baldi A. ↑,
56', Perez Fabricio ↓, Castro A. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽, Compagnucci G. (A),
74', Sanchez U. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
75', Amondarain M. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
76', Palacios T. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
76', Medina C. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
86', Fernandez N. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
87', Gonzalez F. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
90+1', Mavilla J. ↓, Zelarayan G. ↑,
90+1', Arzamendia S. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
90+3', Heredia G. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Compagnucci G. (Own goal),
90+7', Menossi L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 2.

Belgrano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Estudiantes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Belgrano: Heredia G. (Inactive) Ricca F. (Muscle Injury) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Estudiantes: Benedetti G. (Knee Injury) Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.10.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Barracas Central - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
22.09.25	Belgrano - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.09.25	Newells Old Boys - Belgrano	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.09.25	Belgrano - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTWWT
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.10.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.09.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo	1:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.09.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.09.25	Flamengo - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano	0:1
09.12.24	Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata	2:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.01.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano	1:0
17.08.23	Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.07.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano	4:0
Copa Argentina
13.07.22	Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.08.18	Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1

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