Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 25

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Gil Vicente		Chaves

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.4	4	Watch
	1.96	3.4	4.59
	1.93	3.4	4.6
	1.91	3.4	4	Watch
	1.9	3.48	4.2	Watch
	1.94	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)	3.41 ↓ (3.66)	4.24 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gil Vicente
49.5%

Draw
28%

Chaves
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25.7%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

25.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	13%	4.3%

Gil Vicente - Chaves Predictions

Users Predictions: Gil Vicente will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 67. Alex Pinto 13. Gabriel Pereira 26. Ruben (C) 23. Buta L. 8. Dominguez M. 24. Gbane M. 76. Neto M. 7. Toure T. 9. Alipour A. 70. Correia F.	1. Hugo Souza (G) 3. Ygor Nogueira 13. Fernandes V. 40. Pius J. 77. Correia J. (C) 14. Essugo D. 28. Nwakali K. 7. Benny 27. Carraca 23. Hernandez H. 80. Raphael Guzzo
Substitutes
12. Araujo B. (G) 39. Buatu J. 6. Castillo J. 29. Depu 35. Felipe Silva 10. Fujimoto K. 77. Murilo 25. Pedro Tiba 58. Thomas Luciano	99. Jo 70. Morim H. 31. Moura R. (G) 9. Paulo Victor 18. Pinho P. 20. Ribeiro R. 10. Sanca L. 2. Sylla H. 19. Vitoria S.
Coaches
Campelos V.	Morgado L.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Gil Vicente is a favorite.

There will not play in Gil Vicente: Ze Carlos (Injury)

There will not play in Chaves: Cruz S. (Injury) Phete T. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Gil Vicente won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
03.03.24	Casa Pia - Gil Vicente	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Gil Vicente - Porto	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Estoril Praia - Gil Vicente	1:3 ✺
13.02.24	Gil Vicente - Vizela	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.02.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTWLL
- Desportivo Chaves
Liga Portugal
01.03.24	Chaves - Arouca	1:5 ✺
24.02.24	Estrela da Amadora - Chaves	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Chaves - Boavista	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Moreirense - Chaves	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Chaves - Farense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
07.10.23	Chaves - Gil Vicente	4:2
10.04.23	Gil Vicente - Chaves	0:0
23.10.22	Chaves - Gil Vicente	3:1
Club Friendly
31.07.19	Chaves - Gil Vicente	2:1
20.07.19	Gil Vicente - Chaves	0:1
Portuguese Liga 2
17.04.16	Chaves - Gil Vicente	4:0
06.12.15	Gil Vicente - Chaves	1:1

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