Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 29 November 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo
France	21:00	beIN Sports
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Benfica		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.9
	2.5	3.3	2.8
	2.48	3.45	2.92	Watch
	2.5	3.45	3.02
	2.42	3.44	3.09
	2.45	3.4	2.7
	2.43	3.48	2.9
	2.5	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.57)	3.42 ↓ (3.47)	2.9 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
38.9%

Draw
28%

Inter Milan
33%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.9%

27.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.6%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	11.1%	68.9%

Benfica - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 9 - 20%). Inter will win (votes: 31 - 68.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 55.4% – 82.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 8. Aursnes F. 4. Antonio Silva 30. Otamendi N. (C) 5. Morato 61. Florentino 87. Neves J. 11. Di Maria A. 27. Rafa Silva 20. Joao Mario 19. Tengstedt C.	77. Audero E. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 6. de Vrij S. (C) 15. Acerbi F. 36. Darmian M. 16. Frattesi D. 21. Asllani K. 14. Klaassen D. 30. Carlos Augusto 8. Arnautovic M. 70. Sanchez A.
Substitutes
44. Araujo T. 9. Cabral A. 22. Chiquinho 47. Gouveia T. 38. Joao Victor 13. Jurasek D. 10. Kokcu O. 45. Kokubo L. (G) 33. Musa P. 24. Soares S. (G)	23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 7. Cuadrado J. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 32. Dimarco F. 47. Kamate I. 10. Martinez La. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 1. Sommer Y. (G) 44. Stabile G. 50. Stankovic A. 9. Thuram M.
Coaches
Schmidt R.	Inzaghi S.

Preview

Inter is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Benfica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Inter is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Inter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Foot Injury) Bernat J. (Muscle Injury) David Neres (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Inter: Bastoni A. (Calf Injury) Dumfries D. (Health problems) Pavard B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Sanchez A. (Ankle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Benfica - Famalicão	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
12.11.23	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Real Sociedad - Benfica	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.11.23	Chaves - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
31.10.23	Arouca - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
26.11.23	Juventus - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Inter Milan - Frosinone	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
04.11.23	Atalanta - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Inter Milan - Roma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Inter Milan - Benfica	1:0
19.04.23	Inter Milan - Benfica	3:3
11.04.23	Benfica - Inter Milan	0:2

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