Match Info

Serie A - Round 31

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV1, Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1, Varzish Sport
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Inter Milan		Roma

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.95	5.4	Watch
	1.63	4.05	5.89
	1.63	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5
	1.66	4.14	5.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)	3.99 (3.99)	5.56 ↑ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
58.7%

Draw
24%

Roma
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.8%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

22.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83%	9.4%	7.5%

Inter Milan - Roma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Inter (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Inter (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Inter (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (44 of 53 users predict this - 83.02%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.91% – 93.13%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 16 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 25. Akanji M. 15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 7. Zielinski P. 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez L. (C) 9. Thuram M.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 14. Malen D.
Substitutes
14. Bonny A. 43. Cocchi M. 36. Darmian M. 6. de Vrij S. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 17. Diouf A. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 11. Luis Henrique 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H. 8. Sucic P.	3. Angelino 70. De Marzi G. (G) 8. El Aynaoui N. 92. El Shaarawy S. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 12. Tsimikas K. 78. Vaz R. 20. Venturino L. 97. Zaragoza B. 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Chivu C.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Martinez L. ⚽, Thuram M. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Mancini G. ⚽, Rensch D. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Calhanoglu H. ⚽, Zielinski P. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Mancini G. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
52', 3 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽, Thuram M. (A),
55', 4 - 1, Thuram M. ⚽, Calhanoglu H. (A),
58', Bastoni A. ↓, Darmian M. ↑,
58', Martinez L. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
58', Rensch D. ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
60', Pisilli N. 🟨,
63', 5 - 1, Barella N. ⚽,
64', Soule M. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
66', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
66', Thuram M. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
70', 5 - 2, Pellegrini Lo. ⚽,
76', Zielinski P. ↓, Mkhitaryan H. ↑,
81', Hermoso M. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 4.

Recent performances by Inter have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Roma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Inter is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Inter: Bisseck Y. (Thigh Injury) Carlos Augusto (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Dybala P. (Knee Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Kone M. (Muscle Injury) Wesley Franca (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 45.01% AS Roma: 12.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Milan - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
22.03.26	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Inter Milan - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Milan - Inter Milan	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.03.26	Como - Inter Milan	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.02.26	Inter Milan - Genoa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLTW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
22.03.26	Roma - Lecce	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Roma - Bologna	3:4 ET ✺
Italian Serie A
15.03.26	Como - Roma	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Bologna - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Genoa - Roma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1
27.04.25	Inter Milan - Roma	0:1
20.10.24	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1
10.02.24	Roma - Inter Milan	2:4
29.10.23	Inter Milan - Roma	1:0
06.05.23	Roma - Inter Milan	0:2
01.10.22	Inter Milan - Roma	1:2

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