Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Trofense		Farense

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3	3	2.2
	3.05	3.3	2.14
	3.24	3.39	2.33
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.13	3.24	2.24
	3.05	3.15	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.48)	3.18 ↓ (3.37)	2.22 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
29.8%

Draw
28.8%

Farense
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

27.7%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

27.2%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Trofense - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Farense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trofense won 0.

Trofense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Farense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Farense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
18.03.23	Feirense - Trofense	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Trofense - Nacional	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Moreirense - Trofense	1:0 ✺
24.02.23	Trofense - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Trofense - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLW
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
19.03.23	Farense - BSAD	4:0 ✺
11.03.23	Vilafranquense - Farense	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Farense - Leixões	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Covilhã - Farense	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Farense - Mafra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.11.22	Farense - Trofense	3:1
06.03.22	Trofense - Farense	1:1
13.11.21	Farense - Trofense	2:0
15.04.15	Trofense - Farense	0:1
30.11.14	Farense - Trofense	1:1
04.05.14	Farense - Trofense	1:0
11.12.13	Trofense - Farense	1:0

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