Match Info

Date: 8 February 2022, Tuesday


	Varzim		Nacional

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.1	2.3
	2.8	3.25	2.35
	2.85	3.2	2.3
	2.95	3.1	2.34
	3.08	3.36	2.43
	3.1	3	2.2
	2.85	3.3	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.09)	3.19 ↑ (3.19)	2.33 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Varzim
31.5%

Draw
28.9%

Nacional
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

28.5%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

21.2%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varzim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varzim - Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Varzim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Varzim have a series of guest games.

Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
02.02.22	Chaves - Varzim	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Rio Ave - Varzim	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Varzim - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
08.01.22	Mafra - Varzim	0:0 ✺
20.12.21	Covilhã - Varzim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTWTL
- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
30.01.22	Nacional - Porto B	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Vilafranquense - Nacional	4:3 ✺
16.01.22	Nacional - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
10.01.22	Nacional - Feirense	2:1 ✺
29.12.21	Académico de Viseu - Nacional	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.08.21	Nacional - Varzim	2:1
30.10.19	Nacional - Varzim	1:1
18.03.18	Nacional - Varzim	3:0
29.10.17	Varzim - Nacional	0:0

Upcoming Matches