Match Info

Date: 24 November 2021, Wednesday


	Beşiktaş		Ajax

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.25	1.36
	7	5.25	1.39
	7.65	5.4	1.4
	6.8	5.2	1.39
	7.61	5.25	1.4
	8	5	1.38
	7.7	5.4	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.47 ↑ (5.98)	5.25 ↑ (4.36)	1.39 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
12.8%

Draw
18.2%

Ajax
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

21.9%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

18.3%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajax's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.9%	5.8%	85.3%

Beşiktaş - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: Ajax will win (163 of 191 users predict this - 85.34%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.32% – 90.36%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Beşiktaş has currently - 0, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has a very small chance of 3rd (<1%), has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.

Ajax has currently - 12, has a very good chance of 1st (>99%), has a very small chance of 2nd (<1%), has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (69%), has a chance of semis (41%), has a chance of final (22%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Beşiktaş is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ajax is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ajax is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Beşiktaş won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
20.11.21	Alanyaspor - Beşiktaş	2:0 ✺
06.11.21	Beşiktaş - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.11.21	Sporting Lisbon - Beşiktaş	4:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
30.10.21	Hatayspor - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
25.10.21	Beşiktaş - Galatasaray	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
21.11.21	Waalwijk - Ajax	0:5 ✺
07.11.21	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.11.21	Borussia Dortmund - Ajax	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
30.10.21	Heracles Almelo - Ajax	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
28.09.21	Ajax - Beşiktaş	2:0

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